Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrafic aérien moscovite suspendu par… ?
Trafic aérien moscovite suspendu par… ?
$48,074 Vol.
22 juil. 2026
22 juillet
Non
25 juillet
Non
31 juillet
Non
31 août
Oui
$48,074 Vol.
22 juillet
$1,065 Vol.
Non
25 juillet
$1,682 Vol.
Non
31 juillet
$2,110 Vol.
Non
31 août
$43,217 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$48,074Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$48,074Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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