Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven the most intense military purges in decades, with investigations announced in January 2026 into top People's Liberation Army (PLA) generals Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC), and Liu Zhenli, chief of the Joint Staff Department, for serious disciplinary violations. In late February, China removed 19 National People's Congress delegates, including nine military officers like Ding Laifu and Bian Ruifeng, ahead of the March Two Sessions meetings. Recent March developments saw three more generals stripped of advisory roles, signaling continued emphasis on PLA loyalty amid potential Taiwan tensions. Traders weigh these patterns against remaining high-profile Politburo and CMC figures, with no major new probes in the past two weeks but risks elevated before the 2027 Party Congress.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$46,221 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
21%
Li Xi
11%
Cai Qi
8%
Ding Xuexiang
8%
Zhang Shengmin
8%
Wang Huning
5%
Wang Yi
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Zhao Leji
4%
$46,221 Vol.
Dong Jun
$8,153 Vol.
21%
Li Xi
$14,143 Vol.
11%
Cai Qi
$0 Vol.
8%
Ding Xuexiang
$0 Vol.
8%
Zhang Shengmin
$10,416 Vol.
8%
Wang Huning
$0 Vol.
5%
Wang Yi
$7,785 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$0 Vol.
4%
Zhao Leji
$5,724 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven the most intense military purges in decades, with investigations announced in January 2026 into top People's Liberation Army (PLA) generals Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC), and Liu Zhenli, chief of the Joint Staff Department, for serious disciplinary violations. In late February, China removed 19 National People's Congress delegates, including nine military officers like Ding Laifu and Bian Ruifeng, ahead of the March Two Sessions meetings. Recent March developments saw three more generals stripped of advisory roles, signaling continued emphasis on PLA loyalty amid potential Taiwan tensions. Traders weigh these patterns against remaining high-profile Politburo and CMC figures, with no major new probes in the past two weeks but risks elevated before the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$46,221Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven the most intense military purges in decades, with investigations announced in January 2026 into top People's Liberation Army (PLA) generals Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC), and Liu Zhenli, chief of the Joint Staff Department, for serious disciplinary violations. In late February, China removed 19 National People's Congress delegates, including nine military officers like Ding Laifu and Bian Ruifeng, ahead of the March Two Sessions meetings. Recent March developments saw three more generals stripped of advisory roles, signaling continued emphasis on PLA loyalty amid potential Taiwan tensions. Traders weigh these patterns against remaining high-profile Politburo and CMC figures, with no major new probes in the past two weeks but risks elevated before the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$46,221Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven the most intense military purges in decades, with investigations announced in January 2026 into top People's Liberation Army (PLA) generals Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC), and Liu Zhenli, chief of the Joint Staff Department, for serious disciplinary violations. In late February, China removed 19 National People's Congress delegates, including nine military officers like Ding Laifu and Bian Ruifeng, ahead of the March Two Sessions meetings. Recent March developments saw three more generals stripped of advisory roles, signaling continued emphasis on PLA loyalty amid potential Taiwan tensions. Traders weigh these patterns against remaining high-profile Politburo and CMC figures, with no major new probes in the past two weeks but risks elevated before the 2027 Party Congress.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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