Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) continues to drive speculation on potential purges, with recent high-profile investigations in the People's Liberation Army (PLA) shaping trader sentiment. In December 2024, Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairman Admiral Miao Hua was suspended for "serious violations," following the 2024 expulsions of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe amid Rocket Force corruption scandals. These moves underscore Xi's consolidation of control ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, where Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) reshuffles typically occur. Economic pressures, financial sector probes, and Taiwan tensions could accelerate actions in 2026, though no specific timeline or targets have been announced. Traders monitor CCDI announcements and National People's Congress sessions for signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$24,293 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
21%
Li Xi
11%
Cai Qi
8%
Ding Xuexiang
8%
Zhang Shengmin
8%
Wang Yi
6%
Wang Huning
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Zhao Leji
4%
$24,293 Vol.
Dong Jun
$8,153 Vol.
21%
Li Xi
$0 Vol.
11%
Cai Qi
$0 Vol.
8%
Ding Xuexiang
$0 Vol.
8%
Zhang Shengmin
$10,416 Vol.
8%
Wang Yi
$0 Vol.
6%
Wang Huning
$0 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$0 Vol.
4%
Zhao Leji
$5,724 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) continues to drive speculation on potential purges, with recent high-profile investigations in the People's Liberation Army (PLA) shaping trader sentiment. In December 2024, Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairman Admiral Miao Hua was suspended for "serious violations," following the 2024 expulsions of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe amid Rocket Force corruption scandals. These moves underscore Xi's consolidation of control ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, where Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) reshuffles typically occur. Economic pressures, financial sector probes, and Taiwan tensions could accelerate actions in 2026, though no specific timeline or targets have been announced. Traders monitor CCDI announcements and National People's Congress sessions for signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$24,293Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) continues to drive speculation on potential purges, with recent high-profile investigations in the People's Liberation Army (PLA) shaping trader sentiment. In December 2024, Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairman Admiral Miao Hua was suspended for "serious violations," following the 2024 expulsions of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe amid Rocket Force corruption scandals. These moves underscore Xi's consolidation of control ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, where Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) reshuffles typically occur. Economic pressures, financial sector probes, and Taiwan tensions could accelerate actions in 2026, though no specific timeline or targets have been announced. Traders monitor CCDI announcements and National People's Congress sessions for signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$24,293Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) continues to drive speculation on potential purges, with recent high-profile investigations in the People's Liberation Army (PLA) shaping trader sentiment. In December 2024, Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairman Admiral Miao Hua was suspended for "serious violations," following the 2024 expulsions of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe amid Rocket Force corruption scandals. These moves underscore Xi's consolidation of control ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, where Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) reshuffles typically occur. Economic pressures, financial sector probes, and Taiwan tensions could accelerate actions in 2026, though no specific timeline or targets have been announced. Traders monitor CCDI announcements and National People's Congress sessions for signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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