Traders assign a 98.5 percent implied probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 due to the absence of any verifiable public signals or credible reporting indicating marital strain between the Chinese leader and his wife, Peng Liyuan, who have maintained a visible partnership since their 1987 marriage. Recent joint appearances, including state events and international diplomacy through mid-2026, reinforce the stability of their relationship under the tight information controls of the Chinese Communist Party system. Historical precedent shows senior leaders’ personal matters remain private unless tied to political purges or succession questions, neither of which currently apply. While an abrupt health-related development or internal elite shift could theoretically alter the outlook, no such indicators have emerged in the past year.