Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, commands 93% trader consensus for a Republican winner on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's unyielding Republican dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1976 amid massive GOP margins in recent presidential and federal races. Rep. Harriet Hageman's prompt candidacy jumpstarted a strong Republican primary field, outpacing a thin Democratic slate including Gabriel Green and former Rep. James Byrd, with no public polling to suggest competitiveness. This pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe red seats like Wyoming's. Late challenges could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or extraordinary national Democratic turnout surge before August 18 primaries, though such shifts remain improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
93%
Démocrate
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
$0 Vol.
93%
Démocrate
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, commands 93% trader consensus for a Republican winner on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's unyielding Republican dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1976 amid massive GOP margins in recent presidential and federal races. Rep. Harriet Hageman's prompt candidacy jumpstarted a strong Republican primary field, outpacing a thin Democratic slate including Gabriel Green and former Rep. James Byrd, with no public polling to suggest competitiveness. This pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe red seats like Wyoming's. Late challenges could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or extraordinary national Democratic turnout surge before August 18 primaries, though such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, commands 93% trader consensus for a Republican winner on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's unyielding Republican dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1976 amid massive GOP margins in recent presidential and federal races. Rep. Harriet Hageman's prompt candidacy jumpstarted a strong Republican primary field, outpacing a thin Democratic slate including Gabriel Green and former Rep. James Byrd, with no public polling to suggest competitiveness. This pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe red seats like Wyoming's. Late challenges could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or extraordinary national Democratic turnout surge before August 18 primaries, though such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, commands 93% trader consensus for a Republican winner on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's unyielding Republican dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1976 amid massive GOP margins in recent presidential and federal races. Rep. Harriet Hageman's prompt candidacy jumpstarted a strong Republican primary field, outpacing a thin Democratic slate including Gabriel Green and former Rep. James Byrd, with no public polling to suggest competitiveness. This pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe red seats like Wyoming's. Late challenges could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or extraordinary national Democratic turnout surge before August 18 primaries, though such shifts remain improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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