Market icon
Politique·Présidence Trump

Trump visitera-t-il la Chine d'ici... ?

Market icon
Politique·Présidence Trump

Trump visitera-t-il la Chine d'ici... ?

$12,774,371 Vol.

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$12,774,371 Vol.

Polymarket

31 mars 2026

$6,145,992 Vol.

<1%

30 avril 2026

$4,957,885 Vol.

3%

31 mai

$681,580 Vol.

74%

30 juin

$439,929 Vol.

79%

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's scheduled visit to Beijing on May 14-15, 2026, for a bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping drives trader sentiment, following a White House announcement on March 25 rescheduling the trip from late March due to the Iran conflict. This would be Trump's first trip to China in his second term, after expressing early 2026 intentions during their October 2025 APEC meeting in Busan. Geopolitical tensions, including US-China trade disputes, tariffs, and Middle East escalations, raise risks of further postponement, while diplomatic progress could accelerate timelines. Key watchpoints include official confirmations, potential executive actions on tariffs, and any impact from ongoing foreign policy developments before mid-May.

President Donald Trump's scheduled visit to Beijing on May 14-15, 2026, for a bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping drives trader sentiment, following a White House announcement on March 25 rescheduling the trip from late March due to the Iran conflict. This would be Trump's first trip to China in his second term, after expressing early 2026 intentions during their October 2025 APEC meeting in Busan. Geopolitical tensions, including US-China trade disputes, tariffs, and Middle East escalations, raise risks of further postponement, while diplomatic progress could accelerate timelines. Key watchpoints include official confirmations, potential executive actions on tariffs, and any impact from ongoing foreign policy developments before mid-May.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's scheduled visit to Beijing on May 14-15, 2026, for a bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping drives trader sentiment, following a White House announcement on March 25 rescheduling the trip from late March due to the Iran conflict. This would be Trump's first trip to China in his second term, after expressing early 2026 intentions during their October 2025 APEC meeting in Busan. Geopolitical tensions, including US-China trade disputes, tariffs, and Middle East escalations, raise risks of further postponement, while diplomatic progress could accelerate timelines. Key watchpoints include official confirmations, potential executive actions on tariffs, and any impact from ongoing foreign policy developments before mid-May.

President Donald Trump's scheduled visit to Beijing on May 14-15, 2026, for a bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping drives trader sentiment, following a White House announcement on March 25 rescheduling the trip from late March due to the Iran conflict. This would be Trump's first trip to China in his second term, after expressing early 2026 intentions during their October 2025 APEC meeting in Busan. Geopolitical tensions, including US-China trade disputes, tariffs, and Middle East escalations, raise risks of further postponement, while diplomatic progress could accelerate timelines. Key watchpoints include official confirmations, potential executive actions on tariffs, and any impact from ongoing foreign policy developments before mid-May.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Trump visitera-t-il la Chine d'ici... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin » à 79%, suivi de « 31 mai » à 74%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 79¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Trump visitera-t-il la Chine d'ici... ? » a généré $12.8 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Sep 19, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Trump visitera-t-il la Chine d'ici... ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Trump visitera-t-il la Chine d'ici... ? » est « 30 juin » à 79%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mai » à 74%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Trump visitera-t-il la Chine d'ici... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.