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Politique·Moyen-Orient

Israël annexera-t-il un territoire d'ici le 31 décembre ?

Market icon
Politique·Moyen-Orient

Israël annexera-t-il un territoire d'ici le 31 décembre ?

$382,506 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$382,506 Vol.

Polymarket

30 juin 2026

$132,254 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has faced ongoing pressure from far-right coalition partners like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich to apply sovereignty over West Bank settlements, but no formal annexation has occurred amid the Gaza conflict and international opposition. Recent developments include cabinet approval of over 24,000 new settlement units in late November 2024, signaling expansion but not full territorial annexation, which requires Knesset legislation. U.S. President-elect Trump's incoming administration may reduce diplomatic barriers post-January 20, 2025, yet traders note significant hurdles before December 31, including Biden administration sanctions threats and lack of scheduled votes or declarations. Ceasefire talks in Gaza remain stalled, prioritizing military focus over annexation moves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$382,506
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Nov 24, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has faced ongoing pressure from far-right coalition partners like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich to apply sovereignty over West Bank settlements, but no formal annexation has occurred amid the Gaza conflict and international opposition. Recent developments include cabinet approval of over 24,000 new settlement units in late November 2024, signaling expansion but not full territorial annexation, which requires Knesset legislation. U.S. President-elect Trump's incoming administration may reduce diplomatic barriers post-January 20, 2025, yet traders note significant hurdles before December 31, including Biden administration sanctions threats and lack of scheduled votes or declarations. Ceasefire talks in Gaza remain stalled, prioritizing military focus over annexation moves.

Israel's government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has faced ongoing pressure from far-right coalition partners like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich to apply sovereignty over West Bank settlements, but no formal annexation has occurred amid the Gaza conflict and international opposition. Recent developments include cabinet approval of over 24,000 new settlement units in late November 2024, signaling expansion but not full territorial annexation, which requires Knesset legislation. U.S. President-elect Trump's incoming administration may reduce diplomatic barriers post-January 20, 2025, yet traders note significant hurdles before December 31, including Biden administration sanctions threats and lack of scheduled votes or declarations. Ceasefire talks in Gaza remain stalled, prioritizing military focus over annexation moves.

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Questions fréquentes

« Israël annexera-t-il un territoire d'ici le 31 décembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin 2026 » à 17%, suivi de « Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 17¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 17% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Israël annexera-t-il un territoire d'ici le 31 décembre ? » a généré $382.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 23, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Israël annexera-t-il un territoire d'ici le 31 décembre ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Israël annexera-t-il un territoire d'ici le 31 décembre ? » est « 30 juin 2026 » à 17%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 17% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Israël annexera-t-il un territoire d'ici le 31 décembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.