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icon for Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska ?
Politique·Primaires

Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska ?

icon for Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska ?
Politique·Primaires

Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska ?

$235,170 Vol.

18 août 2026
Polymarket

$235,170 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$12,931 Vol.

98%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$16,536 Vol.

86%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$4,405 Vol.

84%

icon for Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

$3,064 Vol.

54%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$41,806 Vol.

38%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$851 Vol.

28%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$66,649 Vol.

27%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$3,221 Vol.

4%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$3,829 Vol.

4%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$13,678 Vol.

3%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$6,984 Vol.

3%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$240 Vol.

2%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$156 Vol.

2%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$2,427 Vol.

2%

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Hank Kroll

$1,938 Vol.

2%

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Matt Claman

$39,011 Vol.

1%

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Edna DeVries

$13,365 Vol.

1%

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Destry J. Payne Sr.

$1,231 Vol.

1%

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Gregg Brelsford

$171 Vol.

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icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$2,676 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary uses a blanket ballot in which the four highest vote-getters advance to a ranked-choice general election. Seventeen candidates are competing for the open seat left by term-limited Republican incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Recent polling averages place Democrat Tom Begich in a clear lead near 40 percent, with Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Click Bishop clustered in the mid-teens and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins also showing measurable support. Early in-person and absentee voting began August 3, with roughly 10,000 absentee requests filed. Campaigns have collectively raised nearly $9 million, with Begich and Kreiss-Tomkins posting the strongest in-state small-dollar totals. Trader pricing on Polymarket aligns closely with these surveys, assigning the highest implied probabilities to Begich and the next tier of established names. No major late developments have altered the field since filing closed in June.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$235,170
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary uses a blanket ballot in which the four highest vote-getters advance to a ranked-choice general election. Seventeen candidates are competing for the open seat left by term-limited Republican incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Recent polling averages place Democrat Tom Begich in a clear lead near 40 percent, with Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Click Bishop clustered in the mid-teens and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins also showing measurable support. Early in-person and absentee voting began August 3, with roughly 10,000 absentee requests filed. Campaigns have collectively raised nearly $9 million, with Begich and Kreiss-Tomkins posting the strongest in-state small-dollar totals. Trader pricing on Polymarket aligns closely with these surveys, assigning the highest implied probabilities to Begich and the next tier of established names. No major late developments have altered the field since filing closed in June.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$235,170
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Connexes

icon for Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?

99%
icon for Bernadette Wilson va-t-elle gagner l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska en 2026 ?

Bernadette Wilson va-t-elle gagner l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska en 2026 ?

34%
Oui
icon for Mary Peltola remportera-t-elle le plus de voix au dernier tour de la primaire sénatoriale d'Alaska ?

Mary Peltola remportera-t-elle le plus de voix au dernier tour de la primaire sénatoriale d'Alaska ?

84%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 20 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Tom Begich » à 98%, suivi de « Bernadette Wilson » à 86%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska ? » a généré $235.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 10, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska ? », parcourez les 20 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska ? » est « Tom Begich » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Bernadette Wilson » à 86%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.