Trump's US-led Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and deploy a peacekeeping force, counts 22-25 members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Indonesia, Jordan, and Egypt after its January Davos charter signing. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid escalating 2026 Iran war tensions, with Indonesia pausing deeper involvement due to domestic opposition and a $1 billion membership fee dispute. Major invitees like Brazil (9.9% implied probability), India (4.3%), and EU states such as France, Germany, Italy, and Sweden (all under 3%) have declined or shown no movement, reflecting trader consensus on stalled diplomacy ahead of the March 31 deadline. Official announcements would trigger resolutions, but recent US-Iran strikes reduce late-breakthrough odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$3,172,197 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Brésil
4%
Inde
3%
Italie
2%
Belgique
1%
Finlande
1%
France
1%
Espagne
1%
Suède
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Allemagne
1%
Danemark
1%
Pays-Bas
1%
Russie
1%
Suisse
1%
Norvège
<1%
Palestine
<1%
Chine
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
$3,172,197 Vol.
Brésil
$29,212 Vol.
4%
Inde
$46,095 Vol.
3%
Italie
$194,662 Vol.
2%
Belgique
$37,568 Vol.
1%
Finlande
$577,864 Vol.
1%
France
$62,720 Vol.
1%
Espagne
$100,134 Vol.
1%
Suède
$225,252 Vol.
1%
Royaume-Uni
$125,827 Vol.
1%
Allemagne
$108,123 Vol.
1%
Danemark
$343,294 Vol.
1%
Pays-Bas
$280,435 Vol.
1%
Russie
$274,083 Vol.
1%
Suisse
$50,063 Vol.
1%
Norvège
$373,833 Vol.
<1%
Palestine
$43,665 Vol.
<1%
Chine
$119,249 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$79,066 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump's US-led Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and deploy a peacekeeping force, counts 22-25 members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Indonesia, Jordan, and Egypt after its January Davos charter signing. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid escalating 2026 Iran war tensions, with Indonesia pausing deeper involvement due to domestic opposition and a $1 billion membership fee dispute. Major invitees like Brazil (9.9% implied probability), India (4.3%), and EU states such as France, Germany, Italy, and Sweden (all under 3%) have declined or shown no movement, reflecting trader consensus on stalled diplomacy ahead of the March 31 deadline. Official announcements would trigger resolutions, but recent US-Iran strikes reduce late-breakthrough odds.
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,172,197Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump's US-led Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and deploy a peacekeeping force, counts 22-25 members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Indonesia, Jordan, and Egypt after its January Davos charter signing. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid escalating 2026 Iran war tensions, with Indonesia pausing deeper involvement due to domestic opposition and a $1 billion membership fee dispute. Major invitees like Brazil (9.9% implied probability), India (4.3%), and EU states such as France, Germany, Italy, and Sweden (all under 3%) have declined or shown no movement, reflecting trader consensus on stalled diplomacy ahead of the March 31 deadline. Official announcements would trigger resolutions, but recent US-Iran strikes reduce late-breakthrough odds.
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,172,197Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's US-led Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and deploy a peacekeeping force, counts 22-25 members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Indonesia, Jordan, and Egypt after its January Davos charter signing. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid escalating 2026 Iran war tensions, with Indonesia pausing deeper involvement due to domestic opposition and a $1 billion membership fee dispute. Major invitees like Brazil (9.9% implied probability), India (4.3%), and EU states such as France, Germany, Italy, and Sweden (all under 3%) have declined or shown no movement, reflecting trader consensus on stalled diplomacy ahead of the March 31 deadline. Official announcements would trigger resolutions, but recent US-Iran strikes reduce late-breakthrough odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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