Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 40.5% for the Trump-Xi summit rescheduled for May 14-15 in Beijing, driven by their October 2025 South Korea meeting where the leaders gripped hands for nearly 27 seconds during trade truce discussions, exemplifying Trump's pattern of extended diplomatic handshakes to convey rapport amid tensions. White House confirmation three days ago of the summit—postponed from late March due to the Iran war—has solidified expectations for a formal greeting, elevating longer-duration odds while keeping no-handshake at just 5.1% per bilateral norms. Shorter intervals like 6-10 seconds reflect caution over potential brevity from ongoing U.S.-China frictions, with Paris negotiator talks last week shaping the agenda. Unforeseen protocol shifts or escalations could alter outcomes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour15s+ 41%
6–10s 21%
10–15s 20%
2–6s 11%
$39,677 Vol.
$39,677 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Pas de poignée de main
5%
<2s
3%
2–6s
11%
6–10s
21%
10–15s
20%
15s+
41%
Photographiés seulement
2%
15s+ 41%
6–10s 21%
10–15s 20%
2–6s 11%
$39,677 Vol.
$39,677 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Pas de poignée de main
$8,990 Vol.
5%
<2s
$4,750 Vol.
3%
2–6s
$8,669 Vol.
11%
6–10s
$3,198 Vol.
21%
10–15s
$0 Vol.
20%
15s+
$5,268 Vol.
41%
Photographiés seulement
$8,802 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 40.5% for the Trump-Xi summit rescheduled for May 14-15 in Beijing, driven by their October 2025 South Korea meeting where the leaders gripped hands for nearly 27 seconds during trade truce discussions, exemplifying Trump's pattern of extended diplomatic handshakes to convey rapport amid tensions. White House confirmation three days ago of the summit—postponed from late March due to the Iran war—has solidified expectations for a formal greeting, elevating longer-duration odds while keeping no-handshake at just 5.1% per bilateral norms. Shorter intervals like 6-10 seconds reflect caution over potential brevity from ongoing U.S.-China frictions, with Paris negotiator talks last week shaping the agenda. Unforeseen protocol shifts or escalations could alter outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Marché ouvert : Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volume
$39,677Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 40.5% for the Trump-Xi summit rescheduled for May 14-15 in Beijing, driven by their October 2025 South Korea meeting where the leaders gripped hands for nearly 27 seconds during trade truce discussions, exemplifying Trump's pattern of extended diplomatic handshakes to convey rapport amid tensions. White House confirmation three days ago of the summit—postponed from late March due to the Iran war—has solidified expectations for a formal greeting, elevating longer-duration odds while keeping no-handshake at just 5.1% per bilateral norms. Shorter intervals like 6-10 seconds reflect caution over potential brevity from ongoing U.S.-China frictions, with Paris negotiator talks last week shaping the agenda. Unforeseen protocol shifts or escalations could alter outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Volume
$39,677Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more at 40.5% for the Trump-Xi summit rescheduled for May 14-15 in Beijing, driven by their October 2025 South Korea meeting where the leaders gripped hands for nearly 27 seconds during trade truce discussions, exemplifying Trump's pattern of extended diplomatic handshakes to convey rapport amid tensions. White House confirmation three days ago of the summit—postponed from late March due to the Iran war—has solidified expectations for a formal greeting, elevating longer-duration odds while keeping no-handshake at just 5.1% per bilateral norms. Shorter intervals like 6-10 seconds reflect caution over potential brevity from ongoing U.S.-China frictions, with Paris negotiator talks last week shaping the agenda. Unforeseen protocol shifts or escalations could alter outcomes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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