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Politique·Davos

Quels pays rejoindront le Conseil de paix d'ici le 31 mars ?

Market icon
Politique·Davos

Quels pays rejoindront le Conseil de paix d'ici le 31 mars ?

$3,342,422 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$3,342,422 Vol.

Polymarket

Brésil

$29,246 Vol.

2%

Inde

$46,866 Vol.

2%

Italie

$195,129 Vol.

1%

Royaume-Uni

$128,362 Vol.

1%

Espagne

$100,212 Vol.

1%

Belgique

$37,613 Vol.

1%

Finlande

$577,942 Vol.

1%

Suède

$225,429 Vol.

1%

Suisse

$51,084 Vol.

1%

Norvège

$512,701 Vol.

1%

France

$62,767 Vol.

1%

Danemark

$343,346 Vol.

<1%

Pays-Bas

$280,729 Vol.

<1%

Russie

$274,283 Vol.

<1%

Allemagne

$130,683 Vol.

<1%

Palestine

$43,730 Vol.

<1%

Chine

$119,402 Vol.

<1%

Ukraine

$80,115 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and peacekeeping, saw its charter ratified in January 2026 with initial members including Argentina, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and UAE, followed by a February summit attended by about 27 nations. Trader sentiment on Polymarket remains bearish for further accessions by the March 31 deadline, pricing Brazil at 4% and India at 3% as top possibilities amid high volume on European holdouts like Norway and Finland, reflecting no official announcements or diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days. Major powers such as China, Russia, and Ukraine have stayed away due to geopolitical frictions, while Europeans including France, Germany, and the UK declined invitations; last-minute statements could shift odds before resolution.

President Trump's Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and peacekeeping, saw its charter ratified in January 2026 with initial members including Argentina, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and UAE, followed by a February summit attended by about 27 nations. Trader sentiment on Polymarket remains bearish for further accessions by the March 31 deadline, pricing Brazil at 4% and India at 3% as top possibilities amid high volume on European holdouts like Norway and Finland, reflecting no official announcements or diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days. Major powers such as China, Russia, and Ukraine have stayed away due to geopolitical frictions, while Europeans including France, Germany, and the UK declined invitations; last-minute statements could shift odds before resolution.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and peacekeeping, saw its charter ratified in January 2026 with initial members including Argentina, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and UAE, followed by a February summit attended by about 27 nations. Trader sentiment on Polymarket remains bearish for further accessions by the March 31 deadline, pricing Brazil at 4% and India at 3% as top possibilities amid high volume on European holdouts like Norway and Finland, reflecting no official announcements or diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days. Major powers such as China, Russia, and Ukraine have stayed away due to geopolitical frictions, while Europeans including France, Germany, and the UK declined invitations; last-minute statements could shift odds before resolution.

President Trump's Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and peacekeeping, saw its charter ratified in January 2026 with initial members including Argentina, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and UAE, followed by a February summit attended by about 27 nations. Trader sentiment on Polymarket remains bearish for further accessions by the March 31 deadline, pricing Brazil at 4% and India at 3% as top possibilities amid high volume on European holdouts like Norway and Finland, reflecting no official announcements or diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days. Major powers such as China, Russia, and Ukraine have stayed away due to geopolitical frictions, while Europeans including France, Germany, and the UK declined invitations; last-minute statements could shift odds before resolution.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Quels pays rejoindront le Conseil de paix d'ici le 31 mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Israël » à 100%, suivi de « Turquie » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quels pays rejoindront le Conseil de paix d'ici le 31 mars ? » a généré $3.3 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quels pays rejoindront le Conseil de paix d'ici le 31 mars ? », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quels pays rejoindront le Conseil de paix d'ici le 31 mars ? » est « Israël » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Turquie » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quels pays rejoindront le Conseil de paix d'ici le 31 mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.