Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Other" at 58.5% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by the absence of any official announcement amid reports of an imminent IPO filing this week for a potential mid-June debut valuing the company at $1.75 trillion. $X trails closely at 34.5%, bolstered by Elon Musk's longstanding affinity for the letter—evident in x.com, the X rebrand of Twitter, and xAI—plus the recent vacancy of the single-letter NYSE ticker following U.S. Steel's delisting. Low-volume options like $SEX, $SX, and $SPAX reflect meme-driven speculation without substantive backing. Recent catalysts include surging space stocks on IPO buzz and Musk's plan for up to 30% retail allocation, but SEC filings expected shortly could clarify or shift sentiment rapidly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAutre 58.5%
$X 35%
$SEX 2.0%
Titre d'élément de groupe : $SX 1.5%
$3,779,257 Vol.
$3,779,257 Vol.
Autre
58%
$X
35%
$SEX
2%
Titre d'élément de groupe : $SX
2%
$SPAX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$STAR
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
Autre 58.5%
$X 35%
$SEX 2.0%
Titre d'élément de groupe : $SX 1.5%
$3,779,257 Vol.
$3,779,257 Vol.
Autre
58%
$X
35%
$SEX
2%
Titre d'élément de groupe : $SX
2%
$SPAX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$STAR
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Other" at 58.5% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by the absence of any official announcement amid reports of an imminent IPO filing this week for a potential mid-June debut valuing the company at $1.75 trillion. $X trails closely at 34.5%, bolstered by Elon Musk's longstanding affinity for the letter—evident in x.com, the X rebrand of Twitter, and xAI—plus the recent vacancy of the single-letter NYSE ticker following U.S. Steel's delisting. Low-volume options like $SEX, $SX, and $SPAX reflect meme-driven speculation without substantive backing. Recent catalysts include surging space stocks on IPO buzz and Musk's plan for up to 30% retail allocation, but SEC filings expected shortly could clarify or shift sentiment rapidly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes