Skip to main content
Market icon
Finance·Masquer Du Nouveau

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) battra-t-il les bénéfices trimestriels ?

Market icon
Finance·Masquer Du Nouveau

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) battra-t-il les bénéfices trimestriels ?

Oui

>99% chance
Polymarket

$19,246 Vol.

Oui

>99% chance
Polymarket

$19,246 Vol.

As of market creation, Taiwan Semiconductor is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Taiwan Semiconductor's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.31 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taiwan Semiconductor reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.31 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Taiwan Semiconductor releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR. Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) will beat Q1 2026 quarterly earnings consensus, reflecting the company's flawless 18-quarter streak of surpassing analyst estimates and pre-release signals of robust performance. TSMC confirmed the beat today with record revenue of $35.9 billion (versus $35.5 billion expected), ADR EPS of $3.49 (versus $3.31 consensus), and 58% profit growth fueled by insatiable AI chip demand from Nvidia, AMD, and hyperscalers—high-end nodes like 3nm now comprise over 50% of wafer revenue. Gross margins expanded to 62.3% amid pricing power and 72% foundry market share. Tail risks remain minimal but include potential GAAP restatements, geopolitical disruptions in Taiwan, or softer-than-guided Q2 demand amid macroeconomic slowdowns; Q2 guidance projects $40.2 billion revenue with 65.5-67.5% margins.

As of market creation, Taiwan Semiconductor is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Taiwan Semiconductor's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.31 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taiwan Semiconductor reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.31 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.

If Taiwan Semiconductor releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR.
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$19,246
Date de fin
16 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://seekingalpha.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
As of market creation, Taiwan Semiconductor is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Taiwan Semiconductor's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.31 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taiwan Semiconductor reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.31 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Taiwan Semiconductor releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR. Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

As of market creation, Taiwan Semiconductor is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Taiwan Semiconductor's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.31 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taiwan Semiconductor reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.31 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Taiwan Semiconductor releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR. Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) will beat Q1 2026 quarterly earnings consensus, reflecting the company's flawless 18-quarter streak of surpassing analyst estimates and pre-release signals of robust performance. TSMC confirmed the beat today with record revenue of $35.9 billion (versus $35.5 billion expected), ADR EPS of $3.49 (versus $3.31 consensus), and 58% profit growth fueled by insatiable AI chip demand from Nvidia, AMD, and hyperscalers—high-end nodes like 3nm now comprise over 50% of wafer revenue. Gross margins expanded to 62.3% amid pricing power and 72% foundry market share. Tail risks remain minimal but include potential GAAP restatements, geopolitical disruptions in Taiwan, or softer-than-guided Q2 demand amid macroeconomic slowdowns; Q2 guidance projects $40.2 billion revenue with 65.5-67.5% margins.

As of market creation, Taiwan Semiconductor is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Taiwan Semiconductor's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.31 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taiwan Semiconductor reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.31 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.

If Taiwan Semiconductor releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR.
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$19,246
Date de fin
16 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://seekingalpha.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
As of market creation, Taiwan Semiconductor is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Taiwan Semiconductor's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.31 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taiwan Semiconductor reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.31 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Taiwan Semiconductor releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR. Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) battra-t-il les bénéfices trimestriels ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) va-t-elle dépasser les prévisions de bénéfices trimestriels ? » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) battra-t-il les bénéfices trimestriels ? » a généré $19.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 6, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) battra-t-il les bénéfices trimestriels ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) battra-t-il les bénéfices trimestriels ? » est « Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) va-t-elle dépasser les prévisions de bénéfices trimestriels ? » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) battra-t-il les bénéfices trimestriels ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.