Microsoft (MSFT) shares, closing at $422.79 on April 17, have surged 14% last week—the best performance since April 2015—fueled by rebounding software sector sentiment and optimism around Azure cloud growth amid heavy AI infrastructure capex. Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a tight race among $420-$430 (29.5%), $450-$460 (27.9%), and $400-$410 (27.5%) buckets for the April 25 close, reflecting pre-earnings caution ahead of Q3 FY2026 results on April 29 (consensus: $4.05 EPS, $81.3B revenue). Key differentiators include AI revenue acceleration versus capex margin pressure and analyst price target cuts, with competitive dynamics hinging on Microsoft's edge in enterprise Copilot adoption over rivals like Amazon Web Services. Volatility may spike on any earnings preview leaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour420 $-430 $ 30%
400 $-410 $ 28%
410 $-420 $ 27%
450 $ - 460 $ 26.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 avr. 2026
<380 $
11%
380 $-390 $
9%
390 $-400 $
11%
400 $-410 $
28%
410 $-420 $
27%
420 $-430 $
30%
430 $ - 440 $
24%
440 $-450 $
12%
450 $ - 460 $
27%
460 $–470 $
11%
>470 $
9%
420 $-430 $ 30%
400 $-410 $ 28%
410 $-420 $ 27%
450 $ - 460 $ 26.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 avr. 2026
<380 $
$0 Vol.
11%
380 $-390 $
$0 Vol.
9%
390 $-400 $
$0 Vol.
11%
400 $-410 $
$0 Vol.
28%
410 $-420 $
$0 Vol.
27%
420 $-430 $
$0 Vol.
30%
430 $ - 440 $
$0 Vol.
24%
440 $-450 $
$0 Vol.
12%
450 $ - 460 $
$0 Vol.
27%
460 $–470 $
$0 Vol.
11%
>470 $
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares, closing at $422.79 on April 17, have surged 14% last week—the best performance since April 2015—fueled by rebounding software sector sentiment and optimism around Azure cloud growth amid heavy AI infrastructure capex. Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a tight race among $420-$430 (29.5%), $450-$460 (27.9%), and $400-$410 (27.5%) buckets for the April 25 close, reflecting pre-earnings caution ahead of Q3 FY2026 results on April 29 (consensus: $4.05 EPS, $81.3B revenue). Key differentiators include AI revenue acceleration versus capex margin pressure and analyst price target cuts, with competitive dynamics hinging on Microsoft's edge in enterprise Copilot adoption over rivals like Amazon Web Services. Volatility may spike on any earnings preview leaks.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
24 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares, closing at $422.79 on April 17, have surged 14% last week—the best performance since April 2015—fueled by rebounding software sector sentiment and optimism around Azure cloud growth amid heavy AI infrastructure capex. Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a tight race among $420-$430 (29.5%), $450-$460 (27.9%), and $400-$410 (27.5%) buckets for the April 25 close, reflecting pre-earnings caution ahead of Q3 FY2026 results on April 29 (consensus: $4.05 EPS, $81.3B revenue). Key differentiators include AI revenue acceleration versus capex margin pressure and analyst price target cuts, with competitive dynamics hinging on Microsoft's edge in enterprise Copilot adoption over rivals like Amazon Web Services. Volatility may spike on any earnings preview leaks.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Date de fin
24 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft (MSFT) shares, closing at $422.79 on April 17, have surged 14% last week—the best performance since April 2015—fueled by rebounding software sector sentiment and optimism around Azure cloud growth amid heavy AI infrastructure capex. Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a tight race among $420-$430 (29.5%), $450-$460 (27.9%), and $400-$410 (27.5%) buckets for the April 25 close, reflecting pre-earnings caution ahead of Q3 FY2026 results on April 29 (consensus: $4.05 EPS, $81.3B revenue). Key differentiators include AI revenue acceleration versus capex margin pressure and analyst price target cuts, with competitive dynamics hinging on Microsoft's edge in enterprise Copilot adoption over rivals like Amazon Web Services. Volatility may spike on any earnings preview leaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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