Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour420 $-430 $ 100.0%
<380 $ <1%
380 $-390 $ <1%
390 $-400 $ <1%
$5,668 Vol.
$5,668 Vol.
<380 $
Non
380 $-390 $
Non
390 $-400 $
Non
400 $-410 $
Non
410 $-420 $
Non
420 $-430 $
Oui
430 $ - 440 $
Non
440 $-450 $
Non
450 $ - 460 $
Non
460 $–470 $
Non
>470 $
Non
420 $-430 $ 100.0%
<380 $ <1%
380 $-390 $ <1%
390 $-400 $ <1%
$5,668 Vol.
$5,668 Vol.
<380 $
Non
380 $-390 $
Non
390 $-400 $
Non
400 $-410 $
Non
410 $-420 $
Non
420 $-430 $
Oui
430 $ - 440 $
Non
440 $-450 $
Non
450 $ - 460 $
Non
460 $–470 $
Non
>470 $
Non
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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