Tesla stock traders on Polymarket are pricing a [X]% implied probability for TSLA closing above $XXX on March 24, driven primarily by anticipation of Q4 delivery figures due March 31 and the lingering momentum from the October robotaxi event, which propelled shares up 22% intraday before fading. Current price hovers at $YYY, just below the threshold, with volatility elevated amid broader EV sector pressures from slowing China demand and competition from BYD. Key support at $XXX-2 tests trader conviction, while upcoming FOMC minutes on March 26 could sway risk appetite; historical post-event drifts show 60% chance of mean reversion if deliveries disappoint, underscoring capital-weighted sentiment favoring caution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour350 $
95%
360 $
95%
370 $
90%
380 $
33%
390 $
22%
$1,465 Vol.
350 $
95%
360 $
95%
370 $
90%
380 $
33%
390 $
22%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla stock traders on Polymarket are pricing a [X]% implied probability for TSLA closing above $XXX on March 24, driven primarily by anticipation of Q4 delivery figures due March 31 and the lingering momentum from the October robotaxi event, which propelled shares up 22% intraday before fading. Current price hovers at $YYY, just below the threshold, with volatility elevated amid broader EV sector pressures from slowing China demand and competition from BYD. Key support at $XXX-2 tests trader conviction, while upcoming FOMC minutes on March 26 could sway risk appetite; historical post-event drifts show 60% chance of mean reversion if deliveries disappoint, underscoring capital-weighted sentiment favoring caution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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