Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 24, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by strong iPhone 16 pre-orders and AI integration hype at recent developer conferences, offsetting antitrust headwinds. AAPL trades at $228.50 intraday, up 2.5% weekly amid broader tech rally, with RSI at 65 signaling momentum without overbought conditions. Key risks include post-FOMC volatility from the March 19-20 meeting and CPI release on March 12, potentially pressuring Nasdaq if rate cut odds fade below 70bps. Watch $232 resistance; a break could push odds toward 75% consensus, while sub-$225 support risks 40% no-bet territory ahead of April 23 earnings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour240 $
98%
245 $
92%
250 $
49%
255 $
50%
260 $
18%
$159 Vol.
240 $
98%
245 $
92%
250 $
49%
255 $
50%
260 $
18%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 24, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by strong iPhone 16 pre-orders and AI integration hype at recent developer conferences, offsetting antitrust headwinds. AAPL trades at $228.50 intraday, up 2.5% weekly amid broader tech rally, with RSI at 65 signaling momentum without overbought conditions. Key risks include post-FOMC volatility from the March 19-20 meeting and CPI release on March 12, potentially pressuring Nasdaq if rate cut odds fade below 70bps. Watch $232 resistance; a break could push odds toward 75% consensus, while sub-$225 support risks 40% no-bet territory ahead of April 23 earnings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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