Polymarket traders are pricing a 62% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) to close above $190 on March 24, driven primarily by the stock's recent 8% rally from $175 support amid robust AWS cloud revenue growth reported in Q4 earnings, outpacing consensus estimates by 5%. Current price hovers at $187.50, with trader consensus reflecting optimism from e-commerce holiday tailwinds and AI infrastructure spending, though tempered by high valuation at 42x forward P/E versus Nasdaq peers. Key risks include Fed Chair Powell's March 19 FOMC remarks on rate cuts, potentially pressuring growth stocks if hawkish; watch AMZN's intraday resistance at $189 for resolution cues. Upcoming CPI data on March 12 could sway sentiment further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour195 $
96%
200 $
93%
205 $
92%
210 $
53%
215 $
19%
$711 Vol.
195 $
96%
200 $
93%
205 $
92%
210 $
53%
215 $
19%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 62% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) to close above $190 on March 24, driven primarily by the stock's recent 8% rally from $175 support amid robust AWS cloud revenue growth reported in Q4 earnings, outpacing consensus estimates by 5%. Current price hovers at $187.50, with trader consensus reflecting optimism from e-commerce holiday tailwinds and AI infrastructure spending, though tempered by high valuation at 42x forward P/E versus Nasdaq peers. Key risks include Fed Chair Powell's March 19 FOMC remarks on rate cuts, potentially pressuring growth stocks if hawkish; watch AMZN's intraday resistance at $189 for resolution cues. Upcoming CPI data on March 12 could sway sentiment further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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