Reports from March 24 indicate SpaceX plans to file its IPO prospectus this week or next, targeting a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and potentially raising $75 billion—the largest ever—propelling trader consensus to a 52.5% implied probability for a 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap, with 24% eyeing 2.0T-2.5T on Starlink's surging satellite broadband revenue and reusable Starship progress. Valuation has doubled from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer amid xAI merger synergies for orbital compute via the TERAFAB project and Starship V3's first flight slated for early April. Skeptics note profitability hurdles to sustain such multiples, but low odds (1.8%) for no IPO before 2028 reflect momentum toward a near-term Nasdaq debut.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.850T
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.6%
$543,336 Vol.
$543,336 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5 T$+
3%
No IPO before 2028
2%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.6%
$543,336 Vol.
$543,336 Vol.
<1.0T
$8,832 Vol.
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$6,445 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$8,365 Vol.
53%
2.0T-2.5T
$8,239 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$181,059 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$313,065 Vol.
3%
3,5 T$+
$9,138 Vol.
3%
No IPO before 2028
$8,191 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Reports from March 24 indicate SpaceX plans to file its IPO prospectus this week or next, targeting a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and potentially raising $75 billion—the largest ever—propelling trader consensus to a 52.5% implied probability for a 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap, with 24% eyeing 2.0T-2.5T on Starlink's surging satellite broadband revenue and reusable Starship progress. Valuation has doubled from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer amid xAI merger synergies for orbital compute via the TERAFAB project and Starship V3's first flight slated for early April. Skeptics note profitability hurdles to sustain such multiples, but low odds (1.8%) for no IPO before 2028 reflect momentum toward a near-term Nasdaq debut.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$543,336Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Reports from March 24 indicate SpaceX plans to file its IPO prospectus this week or next, targeting a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and potentially raising $75 billion—the largest ever—propelling trader consensus to a 52.5% implied probability for a 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap, with 24% eyeing 2.0T-2.5T on Starlink's surging satellite broadband revenue and reusable Starship progress. Valuation has doubled from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer amid xAI merger synergies for orbital compute via the TERAFAB project and Starship V3's first flight slated for early April. Skeptics note profitability hurdles to sustain such multiples, but low odds (1.8%) for no IPO before 2028 reflect momentum toward a near-term Nasdaq debut.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$543,336Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Reports from March 24 indicate SpaceX plans to file its IPO prospectus this week or next, targeting a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and potentially raising $75 billion—the largest ever—propelling trader consensus to a 52.5% implied probability for a 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap, with 24% eyeing 2.0T-2.5T on Starlink's surging satellite broadband revenue and reusable Starship progress. Valuation has doubled from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer amid xAI merger synergies for orbital compute via the TERAFAB project and Starship V3's first flight slated for early April. Skeptics note profitability hurdles to sustain such multiples, but low odds (1.8%) for no IPO before 2028 reflect momentum toward a near-term Nasdaq debut.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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