Madison Sheahan 32%
Derek Merrin 29%
Josh Williams 3.5%
Wayne Kinsel 16.1%
NEW
NEW
May 5, 2026
Madison Sheahan
$1,064 Vol.
32%
Derek Merrin
$2,292 Vol.
29%
Josh Williams
$362 Vol.
3%
Wayne Kinsel
$235 Vol.
16%
Anthony Campbell
$226 Vol.
10%
Jacob Frost
$343 Vol.
1%
Alea Nadeem
$453 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Créé le : Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$4,976Date de fin
May 5, 2026Créé le
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Madison Sheahan 32%
Derek Merrin 29%
Josh Williams 3.5%
Wayne Kinsel 16.1%
NEW
NEW
May 5, 2026
Madison Sheahan
$1,064 Vol.
32%
Derek Merrin
$2,292 Vol.
29%
Josh Williams
$362 Vol.
3%
Wayne Kinsel
$235 Vol.
16%
Anthony Campbell
$226 Vol.
10%
Jacob Frost
$343 Vol.
1%
Alea Nadeem
$453 Vol.
29%
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine OH-09" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Madison Sheahan" at 32%, followed by "Alea Nadeem" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
"Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine OH-09" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.
To trade on "Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine OH-09," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine OH-09" is "Madison Sheahan" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alea Nadeem" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine OH-09" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions