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Le prochain dirigeant hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?

Market icon

Le prochain dirigeant hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?

Maduro - Venezuela President 100.0%

Erdoğan - Président de Türkiye <1%

Xi - Secrétaire général du PCC <1%

Netanyahu - Israel PM <1%

Polymarket

$1,525,514 Vol.

Maduro - Venezuela President 100.0%

Erdoğan - Président de Türkiye <1%

Xi - Secrétaire général du PCC <1%

Netanyahu - Israel PM <1%

Polymarket

$1,525,514 Vol.

Erdoğan - Président de Türkiye

$38,740 Vol.

Non

Xi - Secrétaire général du PCC

$48,966 Vol.

Non

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$78,837 Vol.

Non

Newsom - Gouverneur de Californie

$71,146 Vol.

Non

Starmer - PM du Royaume-Uni

$45,995 Vol.

Non

Zelenskyy - Président de l'Ukraine

$49,441 Vol.

Non

Lula da Silva - Président du Brésil

$66,343 Vol.

Non

Lecornu - Premier ministre de la France

$62,968 Vol.

Non

Takaichi - Première ministre du Japon

$67,933 Vol.

Non

Aucun avant 2027

$62,458 Vol.

Non

Merz - Chancelier allemand

$42,705 Vol.

Non

Macron - Président de la France

$58,821 Vol.

Non

Kim - Dirigeant suprême de la Corée du Nord

$78,453 Vol.

Non

Khamenei - Guide suprême de l'Iran

$194,442 Vol.

Non

Albanese - Premier ministre de l'Australie

$42,750 Vol.

Non

Milei - Argentina President

$46,584 Vol.

Non

Trump - Président des États-Unis

$79,647 Vol.

Non

Putin - Russia President

$38,323 Vol.

Non

al-Assad - Président syrien

$5,840 Vol.

Non

Maduro - Venezuela President

$194,815 Vol.

Oui

Schoof - Premier ministre des Pays-Bas

$73,322 Vol.

Non

Abbas - Président de la Palestine

$41,206 Vol.

Non

Sánchez - Spanish PM

$35,781 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,525,514
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 18, 2025, 10:45 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Le prochain dirigeant hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Maduro - Venezuela President" at 100%, followed by "Erdoğan - Président de Türkiye" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Le prochain dirigeant hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Le prochain dirigeant hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Le prochain dirigeant hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?" is "Maduro - Venezuela President" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Erdoğan - Président de Türkiye" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Le prochain dirigeant hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.