Name: Prochain PDG d'Apple ?
Start: 2025-11-18T20:15:42.528674Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

John Ternus

Sabih Khan

Craig Federighi

Greg Joswiak

Prochain PDG d'Apple ?

As of market creation, Apple is estimated to release earnings on January 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Apple's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.67 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.67 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If Apple releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. 
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


Prochain PDG d'Apple ?

John Ternus
$129,736 Vol.
66%

Craig Federighi
$8,833 Vol.
18%

Greg Joswiak
$27,216 Vol.
10%

Sabih Khan
$210 Vol.
8%

Contexte du Marché

Prochain PDG d'Apple ?

Règles

Prochain PDG d'Apple ?

Contexte du Marché

Prochain PDG d'Apple ?

À propos

Prochain PDG d'Apple ?

John Ternus$129,736 Vol.66%Acheter Oui67¢Acheter Non35¢

Craig Federighi$8,833 Vol.18%Acheter Oui20¢Acheter Non85¢

Greg Joswiak$27,216 Vol.10%Acheter Oui11.3¢Acheter Non91.4¢

Sabih Khan$210 Vol.8%Acheter Oui9¢Acheter Non94¢

Contexte du Marché

Prochain PDG d'Apple ?

Règles

Prochain PDG d'Apple ?

Contexte du Marché

Prochain PDG d'Apple ?

À propos

John Ternus
$129,736 Vol.
66%

Craig Federighi
$8,833 Vol.
18%

Greg Joswiak
$27,216 Vol.
10%

Sabih Khan
$210 Vol.
8%