Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's comfortable victory in the March 10, 2026, primary—securing her party's nomination without a runoff—has driven trader consensus to 92% odds for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic district attorney Scott Colom. Mississippi's deep-red electoral history, with no Democratic U.S. Senate win since 1982, bolsters this dominance, amplified by Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and primary strength signaling unified GOP support. Absent recent general election polls, odds reflect historical base rates for safe Republican seats. Realistic challenges include a major scandal, indictment, or health crisis for Hyde-Smith, or an improbable national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in this non-competitive race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$10,438 Vol.
$10,438 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
92%
Démocrate
8%
$10,438 Vol.
$10,438 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
$8,814 Vol.
92%
Démocrate
$1,624 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's comfortable victory in the March 10, 2026, primary—securing her party's nomination without a runoff—has driven trader consensus to 92% odds for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic district attorney Scott Colom. Mississippi's deep-red electoral history, with no Democratic U.S. Senate win since 1982, bolsters this dominance, amplified by Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and primary strength signaling unified GOP support. Absent recent general election polls, odds reflect historical base rates for safe Republican seats. Realistic challenges include a major scandal, indictment, or health crisis for Hyde-Smith, or an improbable national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in this non-competitive race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$10,438Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's comfortable victory in the March 10, 2026, primary—securing her party's nomination without a runoff—has driven trader consensus to 92% odds for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic district attorney Scott Colom. Mississippi's deep-red electoral history, with no Democratic U.S. Senate win since 1982, bolsters this dominance, amplified by Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and primary strength signaling unified GOP support. Absent recent general election polls, odds reflect historical base rates for safe Republican seats. Realistic challenges include a major scandal, indictment, or health crisis for Hyde-Smith, or an improbable national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in this non-competitive race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$10,438Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's comfortable victory in the March 10, 2026, primary—securing her party's nomination without a runoff—has driven trader consensus to 92% odds for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic district attorney Scott Colom. Mississippi's deep-red electoral history, with no Democratic U.S. Senate win since 1982, bolsters this dominance, amplified by Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and primary strength signaling unified GOP support. Absent recent general election polls, odds reflect historical base rates for safe Republican seats. Realistic challenges include a major scandal, indictment, or health crisis for Hyde-Smith, or an improbable national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in this non-competitive race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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