Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's high temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 7 near 23-25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with low precipitation risk, anchoring trader sentiment with 23°C leading at 25.5% implied probability amid tight clustering across 23-26°C outcomes. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing solar insolation to favor 23°C, versus potential breaks allowing brief spikes to 26°C, influenced by weak southerly flow and frontal boundaries typical of early spring in the Yangtze River Basin. Climatological early April highs average 20-22°C, but recent warmer anomalies and yesterday's 24°C reading add upside risk; new 00Z model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 7?
23°C 21%
26°C 15%
25°C 15%
24°C 14%
21°C or below
12%
22°C
9%
23°C
21%
24°C
14%
25°C
15%
26°C
15%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
23°C 21%
26°C 15%
25°C 15%
24°C 14%
21°C or below
12%
22°C
9%
23°C
21%
24°C
14%
25°C
15%
26°C
15%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's high temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 7 near 23-25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with low precipitation risk, anchoring trader sentiment with 23°C leading at 25.5% implied probability amid tight clustering across 23-26°C outcomes. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing solar insolation to favor 23°C, versus potential breaks allowing brief spikes to 26°C, influenced by weak southerly flow and frontal boundaries typical of early spring in the Yangtze River Basin. Climatological early April highs average 20-22°C, but recent warmer anomalies and yesterday's 24°C reading add upside risk; new 00Z model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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