Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Denver's high temperature on March 27, with ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF centering implied probabilities around 50-55°F amid variable cloud cover and weak frontal timing. Latest observational data from Denver International Airport soundings indicate potential low-level temperature inversions capping daytime heating, while recent light precipitation has moderated soil moisture and surface fluxes, differentiating outcomes like 52-53°F (22%) from 50-51°F (21.5%) based on subtle forecast disagreements in insolation and afternoon mixing. Historical March climatology supports these mild highs near the 55°F average, but new model runs expected this afternoon could refine the spread before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
50-51°F 22%
52-53°F 22%
54-55°F 20%
49°F or below 15%
49°F or below
15%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
<1%
50-51°F 22%
52-53°F 22%
54-55°F 20%
49°F or below 15%
49°F or below
15%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Denver's high temperature on March 27, with ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF centering implied probabilities around 50-55°F amid variable cloud cover and weak frontal timing. Latest observational data from Denver International Airport soundings indicate potential low-level temperature inversions capping daytime heating, while recent light precipitation has moderated soil moisture and surface fluxes, differentiating outcomes like 52-53°F (22%) from 50-51°F (21.5%) based on subtle forecast disagreements in insolation and afternoon mixing. Historical March climatology supports these mild highs near the 55°F average, but new model runs expected this afternoon could refine the spread before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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