Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high in Buenos Aires at 33.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C (25.5%) and 27°C (23.3%), reflecting uncertainty in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 28-31°C maxima amid a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm subtropical air over the region. Key differentiators include the timing and strength of afternoon sea breeze from the Río de la Plata, which could cap peaks through coastal cooling, versus potential for prolonged sunshine enabling higher readings during mid-afternoon peak heating (local time UTC-3). Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) short-range guidance notes mild conditions with low precipitation risk, aligning with above-average March norms (historical highs ~25°C), but model spread highlights inherent forecast divergence as observations accrue through the day at Ministro Pistarini Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
27°C 19.9%
26°C 11.5%
$64,275 Vol.
$64,275 Vol.
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
11%
27°C
20%
28°C
28%
29°C
32%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
27°C 19.9%
26°C 11.5%
$64,275 Vol.
$64,275 Vol.
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
11%
27°C
20%
28°C
28%
29°C
32%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high in Buenos Aires at 33.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C (25.5%) and 27°C (23.3%), reflecting uncertainty in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 28-31°C maxima amid a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm subtropical air over the region. Key differentiators include the timing and strength of afternoon sea breeze from the Río de la Plata, which could cap peaks through coastal cooling, versus potential for prolonged sunshine enabling higher readings during mid-afternoon peak heating (local time UTC-3). Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) short-range guidance notes mild conditions with low precipitation risk, aligning with above-average March norms (historical highs ~25°C), but model spread highlights inherent forecast divergence as observations accrue through the day at Ministro Pistarini Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes