Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing #MeToo legal saga, with No Prison Time edging out at 28.8% amid his deteriorating health—highlighted in a March 10 Hollywood Reporter interview where the 73-year-old described Rikers Island as "hell" and claimed he's "dying"—potentially paving the way for compassionate release or plea deals. Close behind, 10-20 years (26%) and 20-30 years (22.6%) account for his standing 16-year California rape conviction (appeal pending) and the upheld June 2025 New York criminal sex act verdict (up to 25 years possible), while a looming April 14 retrial on a third-degree rape charge adds volatility. Key differentiators include plea negotiations to time served after six years incarcerated, appeal outcomes, and health-driven leniency, underscoring entertainment industry's reckoning with accountability versus procedural fairness.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourUne peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?
Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?
Aucune peine de prison 27.8%
10-20 ans 26.4%
20-30 ans 22.5%
<5 ans 10.8%
$682,849 Vol.
$682,849 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Aucune peine de prison
28%
<5 ans
11%
5-10 ans
8%
10-20 ans
26%
20-30 ans
23%
Plus de 30 ans
6%
Aucune peine de prison 27.8%
10-20 ans 26.4%
20-30 ans 22.5%
<5 ans 10.8%
$682,849 Vol.
$682,849 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Aucune peine de prison
$292,393 Vol.
28%
<5 ans
$48,855 Vol.
11%
5-10 ans
$34,830 Vol.
8%
10-20 ans
$120,990 Vol.
26%
20-30 ans
$151,178 Vol.
23%
Plus de 30 ans
$34,603 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing #MeToo legal saga, with No Prison Time edging out at 28.8% amid his deteriorating health—highlighted in a March 10 Hollywood Reporter interview where the 73-year-old described Rikers Island as "hell" and claimed he's "dying"—potentially paving the way for compassionate release or plea deals. Close behind, 10-20 years (26%) and 20-30 years (22.6%) account for his standing 16-year California rape conviction (appeal pending) and the upheld June 2025 New York criminal sex act verdict (up to 25 years possible), while a looming April 14 retrial on a third-degree rape charge adds volatility. Key differentiators include plea negotiations to time served after six years incarcerated, appeal outcomes, and health-driven leniency, underscoring entertainment industry's reckoning with accountability versus procedural fairness.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$682,849Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing #MeToo legal saga, with No Prison Time edging out at 28.8% amid his deteriorating health—highlighted in a March 10 Hollywood Reporter interview where the 73-year-old described Rikers Island as "hell" and claimed he's "dying"—potentially paving the way for compassionate release or plea deals. Close behind, 10-20 years (26%) and 20-30 years (22.6%) account for his standing 16-year California rape conviction (appeal pending) and the upheld June 2025 New York criminal sex act verdict (up to 25 years possible), while a looming April 14 retrial on a third-degree rape charge adds volatility. Key differentiators include plea negotiations to time served after six years incarcerated, appeal outcomes, and health-driven leniency, underscoring entertainment industry's reckoning with accountability versus procedural fairness.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$682,849Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing #MeToo legal saga, with No Prison Time edging out at 28.8% amid his deteriorating health—highlighted in a March 10 Hollywood Reporter interview where the 73-year-old described Rikers Island as "hell" and claimed he's "dying"—potentially paving the way for compassionate release or plea deals. Close behind, 10-20 years (26%) and 20-30 years (22.6%) account for his standing 16-year California rape conviction (appeal pending) and the upheld June 2025 New York criminal sex act verdict (up to 25 years possible), while a looming April 14 retrial on a third-degree rape charge adds volatility. Key differentiators include plea negotiations to time served after six years incarcerated, appeal outcomes, and health-driven leniency, underscoring entertainment industry's reckoning with accountability versus procedural fairness.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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