Gold futures (GC) have plunged approximately 13% through March 2026—the steepest monthly drop in over 17 years—fueled by a stronger U.S. dollar index, diminished Federal Reserve rate cut expectations after hawkish FOMC signals and sticky inflation readings, alongside profit-taking from year-to-date highs above $5,000/oz. Current levels hover near $4,580/oz spot amid modest gains in the final trading day, supported by Middle East de-escalation including Iran tensions and easing oil prices, though higher Treasury yields constrain recovery. Trader sentiment reflects crowded positioning unwind; resolution depends on today's front-month GC settlement close, with intraday dollar moves pivotal. April's PCE inflation data and ECB meeting loom as post-March catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOr (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
$186,106 Vol.
7 000 $
<1%
6 500 $
<1%
6 000 $
<1%
5 800 $
<1%
5 600 $
<1%
5 400 $
<1%
5 200 $
<1%
5 000 $
1%
4 800 $
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4 600 $
64%
4 400 $
93%
4 000 $
99%
$186,106 Vol.
7 000 $
<1%
6 500 $
<1%
6 000 $
<1%
5 800 $
<1%
5 600 $
<1%
5 400 $
<1%
5 200 $
<1%
5 000 $
1%
4 800 $
1%
4 600 $
64%
4 400 $
93%
4 000 $
99%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have plunged approximately 13% through March 2026—the steepest monthly drop in over 17 years—fueled by a stronger U.S. dollar index, diminished Federal Reserve rate cut expectations after hawkish FOMC signals and sticky inflation readings, alongside profit-taking from year-to-date highs above $5,000/oz. Current levels hover near $4,580/oz spot amid modest gains in the final trading day, supported by Middle East de-escalation including Iran tensions and easing oil prices, though higher Treasury yields constrain recovery. Trader sentiment reflects crowded positioning unwind; resolution depends on today's front-month GC settlement close, with intraday dollar moves pivotal. April's PCE inflation data and ECB meeting loom as post-March catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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