Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott holds a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the Florida Senate race, with trader consensus implying an 87% probability of a GOP victory per current Polymarket pricing. Recent polls, including a Rasmussen survey showing Scott ahead by 12 points, underscore this edge amid Florida's rightward shift—evident in Donald Trump's 2020 presidential win by 13 points and Ron DeSantis's 2022 gubernatorial landslide. Early voting data through late October favors Republicans, while Democrats struggle with turnout in key battleground areas despite heavy ad spending. National headwinds for Democrats, including stagnant polling averages, further solidify the structural advantages of incumbency and the state's electoral math ahead of the November 5 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$18,501 Vol.
$18,501 Vol.
Républicain
87%
Démocrate
14%
$18,501 Vol.
$18,501 Vol.
Républicain
$10,201 Vol.
87%
Démocrate
$8,299 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott holds a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the Florida Senate race, with trader consensus implying an 87% probability of a GOP victory per current Polymarket pricing. Recent polls, including a Rasmussen survey showing Scott ahead by 12 points, underscore this edge amid Florida's rightward shift—evident in Donald Trump's 2020 presidential win by 13 points and Ron DeSantis's 2022 gubernatorial landslide. Early voting data through late October favors Republicans, while Democrats struggle with turnout in key battleground areas despite heavy ad spending. National headwinds for Democrats, including stagnant polling averages, further solidify the structural advantages of incumbency and the state's electoral math ahead of the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$18,501Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott holds a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the Florida Senate race, with trader consensus implying an 87% probability of a GOP victory per current Polymarket pricing. Recent polls, including a Rasmussen survey showing Scott ahead by 12 points, underscore this edge amid Florida's rightward shift—evident in Donald Trump's 2020 presidential win by 13 points and Ron DeSantis's 2022 gubernatorial landslide. Early voting data through late October favors Republicans, while Democrats struggle with turnout in key battleground areas despite heavy ad spending. National headwinds for Democrats, including stagnant polling averages, further solidify the structural advantages of incumbency and the state's electoral math ahead of the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$18,501Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott holds a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the Florida Senate race, with trader consensus implying an 87% probability of a GOP victory per current Polymarket pricing. Recent polls, including a Rasmussen survey showing Scott ahead by 12 points, underscore this edge amid Florida's rightward shift—evident in Donald Trump's 2020 presidential win by 13 points and Ron DeSantis's 2022 gubernatorial landslide. Early voting data through late October favors Republicans, while Democrats struggle with turnout in key battleground areas despite heavy ad spending. National headwinds for Democrats, including stagnant polling averages, further solidify the structural advantages of incumbency and the state's electoral math ahead of the November 5 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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