Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott holds a steady lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the latest polls, with averages showing him ahead by 7-8 points as early voting began October 29. The October 24 debate reinforced Scott's messaging on immigration and the economy, aligning with Florida's rightward shift and Donald Trump's 4-5 point edge in presidential polling across the Sunshine State. GOP super PAC spending and incumbency advantages have driven trader consensus to 87% for Republicans, reflecting the uphill path for Democrats amid consistent polling trends and no major momentum shifts in the final week before November 5.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$18,508 Vol.
$18,508 Vol.
Républicain
87%
Démocrate
14%
$18,508 Vol.
$18,508 Vol.
Républicain
$10,209 Vol.
87%
Démocrate
$8,299 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott holds a steady lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the latest polls, with averages showing him ahead by 7-8 points as early voting began October 29. The October 24 debate reinforced Scott's messaging on immigration and the economy, aligning with Florida's rightward shift and Donald Trump's 4-5 point edge in presidential polling across the Sunshine State. GOP super PAC spending and incumbency advantages have driven trader consensus to 87% for Republicans, reflecting the uphill path for Democrats amid consistent polling trends and no major momentum shifts in the final week before November 5.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$18,508Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott holds a steady lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the latest polls, with averages showing him ahead by 7-8 points as early voting began October 29. The October 24 debate reinforced Scott's messaging on immigration and the economy, aligning with Florida's rightward shift and Donald Trump's 4-5 point edge in presidential polling across the Sunshine State. GOP super PAC spending and incumbency advantages have driven trader consensus to 87% for Republicans, reflecting the uphill path for Democrats amid consistent polling trends and no major momentum shifts in the final week before November 5.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$18,508Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott holds a steady lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the latest polls, with averages showing him ahead by 7-8 points as early voting began October 29. The October 24 debate reinforced Scott's messaging on immigration and the economy, aligning with Florida's rightward shift and Donald Trump's 4-5 point edge in presidential polling across the Sunshine State. GOP super PAC spending and incumbency advantages have driven trader consensus to 87% for Republicans, reflecting the uphill path for Democrats amid consistent polling trends and no major momentum shifts in the final week before November 5.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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