Trader consensus favors "No" at 57.5% implied probability for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay, reflecting recent stumbles by several underdog nations in confederation qualifiers. In CONCACAF, Jamaica sits mid-table after a 0-0 draw with Guatemala and loss to Mexico, hampered by key absences like Leon Bailey's injury concerns, while Panama holds a playoff spot but faces tough away fixtures against Honduras. AFC's Iraq dropped points in a 1-1 tie with South Korea, exposing defensive frailties, and Uzbekistan's form dipped with a narrow win over Kyrgyzstan. OFC leader New Zealand remains strong post-bye, but the parlay's multi-leg vulnerability—requiring all to advance amid group stage goal difference battles and head-to-head deciders—drives skepticism amid favorites like the USMNT and Japan pulling ahead in standings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
Oui
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Marché ouvert : Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ET
Volume
$670Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Volume
$670Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 57.5% implied probability for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay, reflecting recent stumbles by several underdog nations in confederation qualifiers. In CONCACAF, Jamaica sits mid-table after a 0-0 draw with Guatemala and loss to Mexico, hampered by key absences like Leon Bailey's injury concerns, while Panama holds a playoff spot but faces tough away fixtures against Honduras. AFC's Iraq dropped points in a 1-1 tie with South Korea, exposing defensive frailties, and Uzbekistan's form dipped with a narrow win over Kyrgyzstan. OFC leader New Zealand remains strong post-bye, but the parlay's multi-leg vulnerability—requiring all to advance amid group stage goal difference battles and head-to-head deciders—drives skepticism amid favorites like the USMNT and Japan pulling ahead in standings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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