Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" shares at 59.5% for "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026," reflecting elevated risks of specified high-impact events amid the ongoing US-Israel air campaign against Iran, now on day 34 as of April 2. President Trump's recent address vowed continued strikes for weeks while contemplating ground operations to seize nuclear materials, amid warnings of depleted targets without invasion; Iranian missile barrages, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and domestic protests signal regime instability. Taiwan's extended Han Kuang war games underscore invasion fears, with analysts noting China's potential exploitation of US distraction. No verified developments on Xi Jinping's ouster or Trump's removal, but sustained escalation drives the closely contested odds through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourRien ne se passe jamais : 2026
Rien ne se passe jamais : 2026
Oui
$443,742 Vol.
$443,742 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$443,742 Vol.
$443,742 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" shares at 59.5% for "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026," reflecting elevated risks of specified high-impact events amid the ongoing US-Israel air campaign against Iran, now on day 34 as of April 2. President Trump's recent address vowed continued strikes for weeks while contemplating ground operations to seize nuclear materials, amid warnings of depleted targets without invasion; Iranian missile barrages, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and domestic protests signal regime instability. Taiwan's extended Han Kuang war games underscore invasion fears, with analysts noting China's potential exploitation of US distraction. No verified developments on Xi Jinping's ouster or Trump's removal, but sustained escalation drives the closely contested odds through year-end.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$443,742Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" shares at 59.5% for "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026," reflecting elevated risks of specified high-impact events amid the ongoing US-Israel air campaign against Iran, now on day 34 as of April 2. President Trump's recent address vowed continued strikes for weeks while contemplating ground operations to seize nuclear materials, amid warnings of depleted targets without invasion; Iranian missile barrages, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and domestic protests signal regime instability. Taiwan's extended Han Kuang war games underscore invasion fears, with analysts noting China's potential exploitation of US distraction. No verified developments on Xi Jinping's ouster or Trump's removal, but sustained escalation drives the closely contested odds through year-end.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Volume
$443,742Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" shares at 59.5% for "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026," reflecting elevated risks of specified high-impact events amid the ongoing US-Israel air campaign against Iran, now on day 34 as of April 2. President Trump's recent address vowed continued strikes for weeks while contemplating ground operations to seize nuclear materials, amid warnings of depleted targets without invasion; Iranian missile barrages, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and domestic protests signal regime instability. Taiwan's extended Han Kuang war games underscore invasion fears, with analysts noting China's potential exploitation of US distraction. No verified developments on Xi Jinping's ouster or Trump's removal, but sustained escalation drives the closely contested odds through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes