Vienna hosts the 70th Eurovision Song Contest on May 12, 14, and 16 at Wiener Stadthalle following Austria's JJ victory in 2025 with "Wasted Love," marking a return to the city that staged the 2015 and 1967 events. With nearly all 35 national selections finalized by late March—including recent winners like Poland's Alicja with "Pray" and Portugal's Bandidos do Cante with "Rosa"—trader consensus favors Nordic entries such as Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen for its high-energy pop-rock appeal and experienced performers, alongside France's Monroe "Regarde!" and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund "Før vi går hjem." Key catalysts ahead include the semi-final running order reveal on April 2 and staging previews, as jury-public televote splits and Big 5 positioning often dictate top 5 finishes in this unpredictable format.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$33,049 Vol.

Finland
82%

Greece
59%

Israel
56%

Denmark
60%

France
59%

Australia
54%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
37%

Romania
27%

Italy
33%

Malta
21%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
15%

Croatia
14%

Germany
14%

Georgia
13%

Norway
12%

Serbia
11%

Montenegro
11%

Poland
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

Austria
10%

San Marino
9%

Luxembourg
9%

Belgium
9%

Latvia
9%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Portugal
8%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
11%

Bulgaria
15%
$33,049 Vol.

Finland
82%

Greece
59%

Israel
56%

Denmark
60%

France
59%

Australia
54%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
37%

Romania
27%

Italy
33%

Malta
21%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
15%

Croatia
14%

Germany
14%

Georgia
13%

Norway
12%

Serbia
11%

Montenegro
11%

Poland
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

Austria
10%

San Marino
9%

Luxembourg
9%

Belgium
9%

Latvia
9%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Portugal
8%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
11%

Bulgaria
15%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vienna hosts the 70th Eurovision Song Contest on May 12, 14, and 16 at Wiener Stadthalle following Austria's JJ victory in 2025 with "Wasted Love," marking a return to the city that staged the 2015 and 1967 events. With nearly all 35 national selections finalized by late March—including recent winners like Poland's Alicja with "Pray" and Portugal's Bandidos do Cante with "Rosa"—trader consensus favors Nordic entries such as Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen for its high-energy pop-rock appeal and experienced performers, alongside France's Monroe "Regarde!" and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund "Før vi går hjem." Key catalysts ahead include the semi-final running order reveal on April 2 and staging previews, as jury-public televote splits and Big 5 positioning often dictate top 5 finishes in this unpredictable format.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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