Traders overwhelmingly back BTS's "Arirang" first-week album sales falling under 3 million (100% implied probability), driven by the complete absence of any confirmed release or announcement from HYBE for such a project. With the group on indefinite hiatus amid ongoing military service for members like RM, Suga, Jimin, V, and Jungkook—only Jin and J-Hope discharged— no promotional rollout, presales, or streaming debut has materialized, rendering sales at zero. Historical BTS juggernauts like "Proof" (over 2 million first week) underscore their potential, but current inactivity locks in the under consensus. An upset would require an unprecedented stealth drop with massive last-minute buzz, though proximity to no event date makes this implausible; eyes remain on the full 2025 reunion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBTS 'Arirang' Première semaine de ventes d'albums ?
BTS 'Arirang' Première semaine de ventes d'albums ?
<3M 100.0%
3m-3,5m <1%
3,5M-4M <1%
4M-4,5M <1%
$161,832 Vol.
$161,832 Vol.
<3M
Oui
3m-3,5m
Non
3,5M-4M
Non
4M-4,5M
Non
4,5 M-5 M
Non
5M-5,5M
Non
5,5m-6m
Non
6M+
Non
<3M 100.0%
3m-3,5m <1%
3,5M-4M <1%
4M-4,5M <1%
$161,832 Vol.
$161,832 Vol.
<3M
Oui
3m-3,5m
Non
3,5M-4M
Non
4M-4,5M
Non
4,5 M-5 M
Non
5M-5,5M
Non
5,5m-6m
Non
6M+
Non
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Traders overwhelmingly back BTS's "Arirang" first-week album sales falling under 3 million (100% implied probability), driven by the complete absence of any confirmed release or announcement from HYBE for such a project. With the group on indefinite hiatus amid ongoing military service for members like RM, Suga, Jimin, V, and Jungkook—only Jin and J-Hope discharged— no promotional rollout, presales, or streaming debut has materialized, rendering sales at zero. Historical BTS juggernauts like "Proof" (over 2 million first week) underscore their potential, but current inactivity locks in the under consensus. An upset would require an unprecedented stealth drop with massive last-minute buzz, though proximity to no event date makes this implausible; eyes remain on the full 2025 reunion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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