Traders price a 92% chance against another Canadian federal election being called by June 30, driven by the stability of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberal minority government in the House of Commons. The confidence-and-supply agreement with the New Democratic Party (NDP), extending through 2025, has ensured passage of recent budgets and legislation without triggering no-confidence votes, most notably the April 2024 federal budget. Despite Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre's repeated calls for a snap election amid unfavorable polls for Liberals, no parliamentary developments or party shifts indicate imminent dissolution by the Governor General. The fixed-date election remains on track for October 2025, barring unforeseen crises.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$69,836 Vol.
$69,836 Vol.
Oui
$69,836 Vol.
$69,836 Vol.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price a 92% chance against another Canadian federal election being called by June 30, driven by the stability of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberal minority government in the House of Commons. The confidence-and-supply agreement with the New Democratic Party (NDP), extending through 2025, has ensured passage of recent budgets and legislation without triggering no-confidence votes, most notably the April 2024 federal budget. Despite Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre's repeated calls for a snap election amid unfavorable polls for Liberals, no parliamentary developments or party shifts indicate imminent dissolution by the Governor General. The fixed-date election remains on track for October 2025, barring unforeseen crises.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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