Alberta remains a Canadian province without any active constitutional pathway, legislative proposals, or mainstream political movement supporting secession from Canada followed by US accession. Such an outcome would require coordinated approvals including a provincial referendum, federal constitutional amendments in Canada, and congressional action in the United States—none of which have advanced or gained traction in recent years. Limited fringe commentary on Alberta separatism centers on independence rather than US statehood and lacks measurable support in polling or official platforms. With no scheduled referendums, diplomatic initiatives, or policy shifts in the near term, trader consensus at 95.5% against reflects these entrenched structural barriers, though unforeseen bilateral crises could theoretically introduce new variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$617,815 Vol.
$617,815 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$617,815 Vol.
$617,815 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Alberta remains a Canadian province without any active constitutional pathway, legislative proposals, or mainstream political movement supporting secession from Canada followed by US accession. Such an outcome would require coordinated approvals including a provincial referendum, federal constitutional amendments in Canada, and congressional action in the United States—none of which have advanced or gained traction in recent years. Limited fringe commentary on Alberta separatism centers on independence rather than US statehood and lacks measurable support in polling or official platforms. With no scheduled referendums, diplomatic initiatives, or policy shifts in the near term, trader consensus at 95.5% against reflects these entrenched structural barriers, though unforeseen bilateral crises could theoretically introduce new variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$617,815Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Alberta remains a Canadian province without any active constitutional pathway, legislative proposals, or mainstream political movement supporting secession from Canada followed by US accession. Such an outcome would require coordinated approvals including a provincial referendum, federal constitutional amendments in Canada, and congressional action in the United States—none of which have advanced or gained traction in recent years. Limited fringe commentary on Alberta separatism centers on independence rather than US statehood and lacks measurable support in polling or official platforms. With no scheduled referendums, diplomatic initiatives, or policy shifts in the near term, trader consensus at 95.5% against reflects these entrenched structural barriers, though unforeseen bilateral crises could theoretically introduce new variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$617,853Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta remains a Canadian province without any active constitutional pathway, legislative proposals, or mainstream political movement supporting secession from Canada followed by US accession. Such an outcome would require coordinated approvals including a provincial referendum, federal constitutional amendments in Canada, and congressional action in the United States—none of which have advanced or gained traction in recent years. Limited fringe commentary on Alberta separatism centers on independence rather than US statehood and lacks measurable support in polling or official platforms. With no scheduled referendums, diplomatic initiatives, or policy shifts in the near term, trader consensus at 95.5% against reflects these entrenched structural barriers, though unforeseen bilateral crises could theoretically introduce new variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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