Traders assign Alberta joining the United States a 95.8% probability against due to entrenched constitutional barriers in both countries. Any accession would require amending Canada's constitution through federal and provincial approvals, including potential referendums, alongside US congressional legislation and statehood processes. Alberta's political environment has featured periodic talks of greater provincial autonomy or western regional interests, yet these have not produced organized campaigns for US integration. No recent legislative, diplomatic, or electoral developments have altered these structural constraints. Factors that could still shift outcomes include unprecedented referendum results, major bilateral treaty negotiations, or fundamental changes in Canadian federal-provincial relations, though such paths face steep procedural and political obstacles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$637,147 Vol.
$637,147 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$637,147 Vol.
$637,147 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign Alberta joining the United States a 95.8% probability against due to entrenched constitutional barriers in both countries. Any accession would require amending Canada's constitution through federal and provincial approvals, including potential referendums, alongside US congressional legislation and statehood processes. Alberta's political environment has featured periodic talks of greater provincial autonomy or western regional interests, yet these have not produced organized campaigns for US integration. No recent legislative, diplomatic, or electoral developments have altered these structural constraints. Factors that could still shift outcomes include unprecedented referendum results, major bilateral treaty negotiations, or fundamental changes in Canadian federal-provincial relations, though such paths face steep procedural and political obstacles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$637,147Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign Alberta joining the United States a 95.8% probability against due to entrenched constitutional barriers in both countries. Any accession would require amending Canada's constitution through federal and provincial approvals, including potential referendums, alongside US congressional legislation and statehood processes. Alberta's political environment has featured periodic talks of greater provincial autonomy or western regional interests, yet these have not produced organized campaigns for US integration. No recent legislative, diplomatic, or electoral developments have altered these structural constraints. Factors that could still shift outcomes include unprecedented referendum results, major bilateral treaty negotiations, or fundamental changes in Canadian federal-provincial relations, though such paths face steep procedural and political obstacles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$638,116Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign Alberta joining the United States a 95.8% probability against due to entrenched constitutional barriers in both countries. Any accession would require amending Canada's constitution through federal and provincial approvals, including potential referendums, alongside US congressional legislation and statehood processes. Alberta's political environment has featured periodic talks of greater provincial autonomy or western regional interests, yet these have not produced organized campaigns for US integration. No recent legislative, diplomatic, or electoral developments have altered these structural constraints. Factors that could still shift outcomes include unprecedented referendum results, major bilateral treaty negotiations, or fundamental changes in Canadian federal-provincial relations, though such paths face steep procedural and political obstacles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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