Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [XX]% probability for USD/CAD hitting the target level in 2026, anchored by widening US-Canada interest rate differentials and US trade policy risks. The pair hovers near 1.39 amid Bank of Canada's recent cut to 3.75% on November 6, contrasting the Fed's steady 4.50%-4.75% range, supporting USD strength. Potential 25% tariffs on Canadian goods under Trump amplify CAD weakness alongside sub-$70 WTI oil prices pressuring exports. Forward projections from major banks eye 1.40-1.45 averages through 2025, but recession risks could cap upside; traders watch December 18 FOMC dot plot, January 29 BoC decision, and Q1 GDP releases for resolution pivots.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour↑1,70
5%
↑1,60
17%
↑1,55
39%
↑1,50
52%
↑1,45
52%
↑1,42
56%
↑1,39
74%
↓1,33
62%
↓1,30
53%
↓1,25
50%
↓1,20
42%
↓1,10
49%
$0.00 Vol.
↑1,70
5%
↑1,60
17%
↑1,55
39%
↑1,50
52%
↑1,45
52%
↑1,42
56%
↑1,39
74%
↓1,33
62%
↓1,30
53%
↓1,25
50%
↓1,20
42%
↓1,10
49%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [XX]% probability for USD/CAD hitting the target level in 2026, anchored by widening US-Canada interest rate differentials and US trade policy risks. The pair hovers near 1.39 amid Bank of Canada's recent cut to 3.75% on November 6, contrasting the Fed's steady 4.50%-4.75% range, supporting USD strength. Potential 25% tariffs on Canadian goods under Trump amplify CAD weakness alongside sub-$70 WTI oil prices pressuring exports. Forward projections from major banks eye 1.40-1.45 averages through 2025, but recession risks could cap upside; traders watch December 18 FOMC dot plot, January 29 BoC decision, and Q1 GDP releases for resolution pivots.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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