EUR/USD hovers near 1.0535, embodying trader consensus on entrenched policy divergence as U.S. economic momentum outpaces a faltering Eurozone, with Fed funds at 4.50% versus ECB deposit rate of 3.25%. November U.S. nonfarm payrolls beat estimates at 227,000, core CPI held steady at 2.7%, tempering rate cut bets to ~50 basis points through mid-2025, while Eurozone CPI dipped to 1.9% and German GDP contracted 0.2% in Q3. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields around 4.18% versus Bunds at 2.12% reinforce dollar dominance. Heading into 2026 resolution, December ECB and FOMC meetings loom large, alongside January CPI data that could signal convergence or further strain.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$17,875 Vol.
↑ 1,40
12%
↑ 1,35
19%
↑ 1,30
25%
↑ 1,26
36%
↑ 1,24
43%
↑ 1,22
60%
↑ 1,20
70%
↓ 1,14
70%
↓ 1,12
60%
↓ 1,10
32%
↓ 1,05
23%
↓ 1,00
12%
$17,875 Vol.
↑ 1,40
12%
↑ 1,35
19%
↑ 1,30
25%
↑ 1,26
36%
↑ 1,24
43%
↑ 1,22
60%
↑ 1,20
70%
↓ 1,14
70%
↓ 1,12
60%
↓ 1,10
32%
↓ 1,05
23%
↓ 1,00
12%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...EUR/USD hovers near 1.0535, embodying trader consensus on entrenched policy divergence as U.S. economic momentum outpaces a faltering Eurozone, with Fed funds at 4.50% versus ECB deposit rate of 3.25%. November U.S. nonfarm payrolls beat estimates at 227,000, core CPI held steady at 2.7%, tempering rate cut bets to ~50 basis points through mid-2025, while Eurozone CPI dipped to 1.9% and German GDP contracted 0.2% in Q3. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields around 4.18% versus Bunds at 2.12% reinforce dollar dominance. Heading into 2026 resolution, December ECB and FOMC meetings loom large, alongside January CPI data that could signal convergence or further strain.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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