Polymarket traders assign a 70% implied probability to Alphabet retaining its current third-place ranking by market capitalization at the end of April, with its $3.31 trillion valuation positioned between NVIDIA's dominant $4.07 trillion lead and Apple's $3.65 trillion. This consensus reflects Alphabet's recent momentum from surging Google Cloud revenues—up amid AI infrastructure demand—and resilient ad growth, narrowing the $340 billion gap to Apple over the past month despite daily volatility. Apple's 25.5% odds capture trader bets on potential Alphabet overtaking driven by Gemini AI advancements, while Apple contends with iPhone sales softness in China and antitrust pressures. Lower probabilities for NVIDIA (1.9%) or Microsoft (0.8%) underscore massive valuation hurdles, with Alphabet's Q1 earnings on April 24 as a key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAlphabet 70%
Apple 26%
NVIDIA 1.8%
Microsoft <1%
$672,861 Vol.
$672,861 Vol.

Alphabet
70%

Apple
26%

NVIDIA
2%

Microsoft
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Oracle
<1%
Alphabet 70%
Apple 26%
NVIDIA 1.8%
Microsoft <1%
$672,861 Vol.
$672,861 Vol.

Alphabet
70%

Apple
26%

NVIDIA
2%

Microsoft
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Oracle
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 70% implied probability to Alphabet retaining its current third-place ranking by market capitalization at the end of April, with its $3.31 trillion valuation positioned between NVIDIA's dominant $4.07 trillion lead and Apple's $3.65 trillion. This consensus reflects Alphabet's recent momentum from surging Google Cloud revenues—up amid AI infrastructure demand—and resilient ad growth, narrowing the $340 billion gap to Apple over the past month despite daily volatility. Apple's 25.5% odds capture trader bets on potential Alphabet overtaking driven by Gemini AI advancements, while Apple contends with iPhone sales softness in China and antitrust pressures. Lower probabilities for NVIDIA (1.9%) or Microsoft (0.8%) underscore massive valuation hurdles, with Alphabet's Q1 earnings on April 24 as a key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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