Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 70% implied probability to Alphabet retaining third-largest status by market capitalization at April 30 close, reflecting its current $3.31 trillion valuation—solidly ahead of Microsoft's $2.65 trillion by $660 billion—amid recent share price outperformance (+2.5% daily gain surpassing Apple's +1.6%). Alphabet's AI investments and Google Cloud acceleration have narrowed the $345 billion gap to Apple's $3.66 trillion, fueling 25.5% odds Apple slips to third if Alphabet surges further. Key catalysts include Alphabet's Q1 earnings on April 23 and Apple's fiscal Q2 report around April 30, alongside broader tech sector volatility tied to macroeconomic risk appetite. Nvidia's $4.07 trillion dominance leaves minimal room for other contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAlphabet 70%
Apple 26%
NVIDIA 2.1%
Microsoft <1%
$672,856 Vol.
$672,856 Vol.

Alphabet
70%

Apple
26%

NVIDIA
2%

Microsoft
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%

Oracle
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%
Alphabet 70%
Apple 26%
NVIDIA 2.1%
Microsoft <1%
$672,856 Vol.
$672,856 Vol.

Alphabet
70%

Apple
26%

NVIDIA
2%

Microsoft
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%

Oracle
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 70% implied probability to Alphabet retaining third-largest status by market capitalization at April 30 close, reflecting its current $3.31 trillion valuation—solidly ahead of Microsoft's $2.65 trillion by $660 billion—amid recent share price outperformance (+2.5% daily gain surpassing Apple's +1.6%). Alphabet's AI investments and Google Cloud acceleration have narrowed the $345 billion gap to Apple's $3.66 trillion, fueling 25.5% odds Apple slips to third if Alphabet surges further. Key catalysts include Alphabet's Q1 earnings on April 23 and Apple's fiscal Q2 report around April 30, alongside broader tech sector volatility tied to macroeconomic risk appetite. Nvidia's $4.07 trillion dominance leaves minimal room for other contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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