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Sports·2026 Winter Games

Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a gold medal?

Market icon
Sports·2026 Winter Games

Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a gold medal?

$709,795 Vol.

Feb 22, 2026
Polymarket

$709,795 Vol.

Polymarket

Andorra

$4,735 Vol.

No

Armenia

$1,985 Vol.

No

Austria

$7,294 Vol.

Yes

Belgium

$3,702 Vol.

No

Bolivia

$1,900 Vol.

No

Brazil

$17,036 Vol.

Yes

Canada

$8,111 Vol.

Yes

China

$143,390 Vol.

Yes

Colombia

$2,286 Vol.

No

Cyprus

$1,696 Vol.

No

Denmark

$6,772 Vol.

No

Eritrea

$1,094 Vol.

No

Finland

$1,405 Vol.

No

Georgia

$3,011 Vol.

No

Great Britain

$5,763 Vol.

Yes

Guinea-Bissau

$2,023 Vol.

No

Hong Kong

$11,842 Vol.

No

Albania

$2,048 Vol.

No

Argentina

$5,425 Vol.

No

Australia

$8,304 Vol.

Yes

Azerbaijan

$3,116 Vol.

No

Benin

$2,041 Vol.

No

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$1,652 Vol.

No

Bulgaria

$2,211 Vol.

No

Chile

$3,542 Vol.

No

Chinese Taipei

$3,360 Vol.

No

Croatia

$6,209 Vol.

No

Czech Republic

$5,702 Vol.

Yes

Ecuador

$2,905 Vol.

No

Estonia

$1,255 Vol.

No

France

$12,081 Vol.

Yes

Germany

$17,771 Vol.

Yes

Greece

$2,396 Vol.

No

Haiti

$1,584 Vol.

No

Hungary

$1,377 Vol.

No

India

$2,818 Vol.

No

Ireland

$7,221 Vol.

No

Italy

$20,754 Vol.

Yes

Japan

$36,724 Vol.

Yes

Kenya

$4,789 Vol.

No

Kyrgyzstan

$2,118 Vol.

No

Lebanon

$3,016 Vol.

No

Lithuania

$2,032 Vol.

No

Madagascar

$1,842 Vol.

No

Malta

$1,849 Vol.

No

Moldova

$2,531 Vol.

No

Mongolia

$1,702 Vol.

No

Morocco

$2,626 Vol.

No

New Zealand

$5,480 Vol.

No

North Macedonia

$890 Vol.

No

Pakistan

$2,383 Vol.

No

Poland

$12,970 Vol.

No

Puerto Rico

$2,668 Vol.

No

San Marino

$2,932 Vol.

No

Iceland

$3,768 Vol.

No

Iran

$1,975 Vol.

No

Israel

$2,869 Vol.

No

Jamaica

$3,803 Vol.

No

Kazakhstan

$87,580 Vol.

Yes

Kosovo

$2,414 Vol.

No

Latvia

$746 Vol.

No

Liechtenstein

$1,593 Vol.

No

Luxembourg

$4,788 Vol.

No

Malaysia

$3,529 Vol.

No

Mexico

$3,750 Vol.

No

Monaco

$1,631 Vol.

No

Montenegro

$810 Vol.

No

Netherlands

$25,116 Vol.

Yes

Nigeria

$2,140 Vol.

No

Norway

$17,827 Vol.

Yes

Philippines

$2,119 Vol.

No

Portugal

$1,728 Vol.

No

Romania

$2,443 Vol.

No

Saudi Arabia

$1,732 Vol.

No

Singapore

$2,515 Vol.

No

Slovenia

$19,001 Vol.

Yes

South Korea

$7,206 Vol.

Yes

Sweden

$13,801 Vol.

Yes

Thailand

$3,388 Vol.

No

Turkey

$3,263 Vol.

No

United Arab Emirates

$8,457 Vol.

No

Uruguay

$2,331 Vol.

No

Venezuela

$2,826 Vol.

No

Serbia

$4,463 Vol.

No

Slovakia

$602 Vol.

No

South Africa

$4,008 Vol.

No

Spain

$13,894 Vol.

Yes

Switzerland

$9,765 Vol.

Yes

Trinidad and Tobago

$2,127 Vol.

No

Ukraine

$810 Vol.

No

United States

$10,960 Vol.

Yes

Uzbekistan

$3,181 Vol.

No

INA

$472 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country wins one or more gold medals at the 2026 Milano–Cortina Winter Olympics. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the gold medal count from the official medal table as it stands after medals are awarded for the final event of the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Subsequent disqualifications, reallocations, or other changes to medal counts will not be considered.

For the purposes of this market, medals won by athletes competing as Individual Neutral Athletes (INA) will be classified as “INA” and will not count toward any listed nation’s medal total.

If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve based on medals awarded in completed events.

If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$709,795
End Date
Feb 22, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country wins one or more gold medals at the 2026 Milano–Cortina Winter Olympics. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the gold medal count from the official medal table as it stands after medals are awarded for the final event of the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Subsequent disqualifications, reallocations, or other changes to medal counts will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, medals won by athletes competing as Individual Neutral Athletes (INA) will be classified as “INA” and will not count toward any listed nation’s medal total. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve based on medals awarded in completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a gold medal?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 93+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Austria" at 100%, followed by "Brazil" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a gold medal?" has generated $709.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a gold medal?," browse the 93+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a gold medal?" is "Austria" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brazil" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a gold medal?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.