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Sports·2026 Winter Games

Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start

Market icon
Sports·2026 Winter Games

Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start

Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) 100.0%

Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA) <1%

Vetle Sjastad Christiansen (NOR) <1%

Martin Uldal (NOR) <1%

Polymarket

$81,340 Vol.

Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) 100.0%

Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA) <1%

Vetle Sjastad Christiansen (NOR) <1%

Martin Uldal (NOR) <1%

Polymarket

$81,340 Vol.

Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA)

$4,259 Vol.

No

Vetle Sjastad Christiansen (NOR)

$1,976 Vol.

No

Martin Uldal (NOR)

$1,555 Vol.

No

Philipp Horn (GER)

$1,443 Vol.

No

Vitezslav Hornig (CZE)

$1,535 Vol.

No

Sturla Holm Laegreid (NOR)

$2,697 Vol.

No

Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR)

$18,974 Vol.

Yes

Philipp Nawrath (GER)

$1,029 Vol.

No

Justus Strelow (GER)

$481 Vol.

No

Tommaso Giacomel (ITA)

$1,698 Vol.

No

Johan-Olav Botn (NOR)

$1,892 Vol.

No

Vytautas Strolia (LTU)

$1,051 Vol.

No

Maxime Germain (USA)

$2,055 Vol.

No

Campbell Wright (USA)

$1,929 Vol.

No

Emilien Jacquelin (FRA)

$4,389 Vol.

No

Sebastien Stalder (SUI)

$1,568 Vol.

No

Andreis Rastorgujevs (LAT)

$1,492 Vol.

No

Fabien Claude (FRA)

$1,358 Vol.

No

Lukas Hofer (ITA)

$2,545 Vol.

No

Sebastian Samuelsson (SWE)

$1,317 Vol.

No

Jesper Nelin (SWE)

$1,983 Vol.

No

Jakov Fak (SLO)

$1,533 Vol.

No

Tero Seppala (FIN)

$685 Vol.

No

Florent Claude (BEL)

$2,059 Vol.

No

David Zobel (GER)

$1,508 Vol.

No

Eric Perrot (FRA)

$5,980 Vol.

No

Niklas Hartweg (SUI)

$1,450 Vol.

No

Simon Eder (AUT)

$2,345 Vol.

No

Joscha Burkhalter (SUI)

$660 Vol.

No

Michal Krcmar (CZE)

$1,683 Vol.

No

Martin Ponsiluoma (SWE)

$3,296 Vol.

No

Isak Frey (NOR)

$1,374 Vol.

No

Dmitro Pidruchnyi (UKR)

$1,540 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.

If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Volume
$81,340
End Date
Feb 23, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 2:42 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.olympics.com

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR)" at 100%, followed by "Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start" has generated $81.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start" is "Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.