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Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022?

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Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA is above 75,000 on March 1, 2022, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source is the CDC; https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases. The source will be first be checked on March 8, 2022, 8 PM ET, and if data is unavailable at that point, every 24 hours subsequently. If data is still unavailable by March 15, 2022, 8 PM ET, another credible source such as NYtimes will be used. The resolution figure can be checked in the cell under the column "7-Day Moving Avg" in the row dated "Mar 1, 2022".

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA is above 75,000 on March 1, 2022, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source is the CDC; https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases. The source will be first be checked on March 8, 2022, 8 PM ET, and if data is unavailable at that point, every 24 hours subsequently. If data is still unavailable by March 15, 2022, 8 PM ET, another credible source such as NYtimes will be used. The resolution figure can be checked in the cell under the column "7-Day Moving Avg" in the row dated "Mar 1, 2022".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022?" has generated $33.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 16, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.