Market icon

Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$33,045 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Sunset fire in California reaches Hollywood Boulevard by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

It will be sufficient if the Sunset fire reaches Hollywood Boulevard to resolve this market "Yes". It does not need to cross Hollywood Boulevard.

The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has reached Hollywood Boulevard may also be used.
Volume
$33,045
End Date
Jan 10, 2025
Created At
Jan 9, 2025, 10:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Sunset fire in California reaches Hollywood Boulevard by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” It will be sufficient if the Sunset fire reaches Hollywood Boulevard to resolve this market "Yes". It does not need to cross Hollywood Boulevard. The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has reached Hollywood Boulevard may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?" has generated $33K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$33,045 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Sunset fire in California reaches Hollywood Boulevard by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

It will be sufficient if the Sunset fire reaches Hollywood Boulevard to resolve this market "Yes". It does not need to cross Hollywood Boulevard.

The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has reached Hollywood Boulevard may also be used.
Volume
$33,045
End Date
Jan 10, 2025
Created At
Jan 9, 2025, 10:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Sunset fire in California reaches Hollywood Boulevard by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” It will be sufficient if the Sunset fire reaches Hollywood Boulevard to resolve this market "Yes". It does not need to cross Hollywood Boulevard. The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has reached Hollywood Boulevard may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?" has generated $33K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.