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Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?

Market icon

Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$67,669 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$67,669 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @drprevost (Leo XIV's verified personal X/Twitter account) posts/tweets at least once between May 12 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all original posts, quote posts, and replies made from the @drprevost account count toward a "Yes" resolution. Reposts/retweets will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be the verified X/Twitter account of Leo XIV: https://x.com/drprevost.

Only posts made directly from @drprevost during the specified timeframe will count. Posts from other accounts, including official Vatican accounts, will not impact resolution.
Volume
$67,669
End Date
May 31, 2025
Market Opened
May 12, 2025, 10:44 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @drprevost (Leo XIV's verified personal X/Twitter account) posts/tweets at least once between May 12 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all original posts, quote posts, and replies made from the @drprevost account count toward a "Yes" resolution. Reposts/retweets will not count. The resolution source for this market will be the verified X/Twitter account of Leo XIV: https://x.com/drprevost. Only posts made directly from @drprevost during the specified timeframe will count. Posts from other accounts, including official Vatican accounts, will not impact resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @drprevost (Leo XIV's verified personal X/Twitter account) posts/tweets at least once between May 12 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all original posts, quote posts, and replies made from the @drprevost account count toward a "Yes" resolution. Reposts/retweets will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be the verified X/Twitter account of Leo XIV: https://x.com/drprevost.

Only posts made directly from @drprevost during the specified timeframe will count. Posts from other accounts, including official Vatican accounts, will not impact resolution.
Volume
$67,669
End Date
May 31, 2025
Market Opened
May 12, 2025, 10:44 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @drprevost (Leo XIV's verified personal X/Twitter account) posts/tweets at least once between May 12 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all original posts, quote posts, and replies made from the @drprevost account count toward a "Yes" resolution. Reposts/retweets will not count. The resolution source for this market will be the verified X/Twitter account of Leo XIV: https://x.com/drprevost. Only posts made directly from @drprevost during the specified timeframe will count. Posts from other accounts, including official Vatican accounts, will not impact resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?" has generated $67.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.