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Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?

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Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?

The International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) is a labor union which primarily represents dock workers on the West Coast of the United States, Hawaii, and in British Columbia, Canada. The ILWU has approximately 40,000 members in over 50 local unions in the states of California, Washington, Oregon, Alaska and Hawaii. On May 10, 2022, negotiations for a new collective bargaining agreement covering more than 22,000 dockworkers at 29 U.S. West Coast ports began, prior to the expiration of the existing deal on June 30. The labor contract being negotiated is one between employers who operate marine terminals and shipping lines represented by the Pacific Maritime Association (PMA) and dockworkers represented by the ILWU. The talks will be particularly delicate this year because the U.S. continues to experience historic supply chain disruptions from the COVID-19 pandemic, along with extraordinary cargo volume from pent-up demand. There is concern that current negotiations might fail, resulting in an official strike of union workers. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US-based local union(s) or leadership of the International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) declares or announces a strike by July 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET which affects any US-based local union(s) of the ILWU. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, if an announcement is made that a strike will occur on a date within the market timeframe (at any point between May 20, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET and the resolution time of July 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the strike later occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the ILWU via official press release or announcement, or information released through their web presence (https://www.ilwu.org/), however other credible media may be used.

The International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) is a labor union which primarily represents dock workers on the West Coast of the United States, Hawaii, and in British Columbia, Canada. The ILWU has approximately 40,000 members in over 50 local unions in the states of California, Washington, Oregon, Alaska and Hawaii. On May 10, 2022, negotiations for a new collective bargaining agreement covering more than 22,000 dockworkers at 29 U.S. West Coast ports began, prior to the expiration of the existing deal on June 30. The labor contract being negotiated is one between employers who operate marine terminals and shipping lines represented by the Pacific Maritime Association (PMA) and dockworkers represented by the ILWU. The talks will be particularly delicate this year because the U.S. continues to experience historic supply chain disruptions from the COVID-19 pandemic, along with extraordinary cargo volume from pent-up demand. There is concern that current negotiations might fail, resulting in an official strike of union workers. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US-based local union(s) or leadership of the International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) declares or announces a strike by July 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET which affects any US-based local union(s) of the ILWU. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, if an announcement is made that a strike will occur on a date within the market timeframe (at any point between May 20, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET and the resolution time of July 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the strike later occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the ILWU via official press release or announcement, or information released through their web presence (https://www.ilwu.org/), however other credible media may be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?" has generated $22.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 24, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.