Market icon

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022?

Market icon

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is above 50,000 in the US for any day ranging from April 11, 2022, to August 1, 2022, inclusive, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is the CDC; https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases. To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average above 50,000. These daily checks will occur from April 12, 2022 to August 8, 2022 (inclusive). If an average above 50,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later. If it is still above 50,000 at that point, the market will be resolved. If it is 50,000 or below, then the market will not resolve based on that data point.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is above 50,000 in the US for any day ranging from April 11, 2022, to August 1, 2022, inclusive, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is the CDC; https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases. To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average above 50,000. These daily checks will occur from April 12, 2022 to August 8, 2022 (inclusive). If an average above 50,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later. If it is still above 50,000 at that point, the market will be resolved. If it is 50,000 or below, then the market will not resolve based on that data point.

Related

Market icon

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

13%
Market icon

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?

57%
Market icon

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

63%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 11, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.