Name: Will Sweden join NATO by...?
Start: 2023-07-10T16:02:28.644Z
End: 2023-10-31T00:00:00Z

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This is a market group over by which date Sweden will have joined NATO.

If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

December 31

This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.

If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

June 30

If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

August 31

If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

October 31

This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.

If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.


April 30

This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.

If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

May 31

Swedish Foreign Minister Tobias Billstrom has stated that Sweden hopes to be a member of NATO by the time of the alliance's summit in Vilnius, which is scheduled to take place on July 11-12, 2023.

If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by July 12, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

July 12

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. 

After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Almanak's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Almanak (https://x.com/almanak) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

April 30
$337 Vol.
No

May 31
$599 Vol.
No

June 30
$4,875 Vol.
No

July 12
$97,296 Vol.
No

August 31
$216,796 Vol.
No

October 31
$62,248 Vol.
No

December 31
$16,315 Vol.
No

Market Context

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

Rules

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

Market Context

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

About

Related

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

April 30$337 Vol.Nocircle xmark

May 31$599 Vol.Nocircle xmark

June 30$4,875 Vol.Nocircle xmark

July 12$97,296 Vol.Nocircle xmark

August 31$216,796 Vol.Nocircle xmark

October 31$62,248 Vol.Nocircle xmark

December 31$16,315 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

Rules

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

Market Context

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

About

Related

April 30
$337 Vol.
No

May 31
$599 Vol.
No

June 30
$4,875 Vol.
No

July 12
$97,296 Vol.
No

August 31
$216,796 Vol.
No

October 31
$62,248 Vol.
No

December 31
$16,315 Vol.
No