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Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022?

Market icon

Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022?

If the value of natural gas is greater than $6.00 at market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, July 18, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of natural gas is $6.00 or less as of market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used. The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at (https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/ng:nmx/historical). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Close/Last” in the row titled with the resolution date.

If the value of natural gas is greater than $6.00 at market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, July 18, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of natural gas is $6.00 or less as of market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used.

The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at (https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/ng:nmx/historical). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Close/Last” in the row titled with the resolution date.
Volume
$13,099
End Date
Jul 18, 2022
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
If the value of natural gas is greater than $6.00 at market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, July 18, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of natural gas is $6.00 or less as of market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used. The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at (https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/ng:nmx/historical). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Close/Last” in the row titled with the resolution date.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

If the value of natural gas is greater than $6.00 at market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, July 18, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of natural gas is $6.00 or less as of market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used. The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at (https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/ng:nmx/historical). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Close/Last” in the row titled with the resolution date.

If the value of natural gas is greater than $6.00 at market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, July 18, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of natural gas is $6.00 or less as of market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used.

The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at (https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/ng:nmx/historical). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Close/Last” in the row titled with the resolution date.
Volume
$13,099
End Date
Jul 18, 2022
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
If the value of natural gas is greater than $6.00 at market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, July 18, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of natural gas is $6.00 or less as of market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used. The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at (https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/ng:nmx/historical). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Close/Last” in the row titled with the resolution date.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022?" has generated $13.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.