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Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August?

Market icon

Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August?

This is a market on whether more than 2.5 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between July 8, 2022 and July 31, 2022 (inclusive).

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput. Should this URL change or move locations a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,500,000 for any day between July 8, 2022 and July 31, 2022 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until data for July 31, 2022 is available.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of July 31, 2022, or on any date before that if the target number is reached. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from July 8, 2022 to July 31, 2022, by August 7, 2022, the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates July 8, 2022 and onward prior to the release of data for July 31, 2022 will be considered.
Volume
$59,059
End Date
Jul 31, 2022
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This is a market on whether more than 2.5 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between July 8, 2022 and July 31, 2022 (inclusive). The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput. Should this URL change or move locations a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,500,000 for any day between July 8, 2022 and July 31, 2022 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until data for July 31, 2022 is available. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of July 31, 2022, or on any date before that if the target number is reached. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from July 8, 2022 to July 31, 2022, by August 7, 2022, the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates July 8, 2022 and onward prior to the release of data for July 31, 2022 will be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a market on whether more than 2.5 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between July 8, 2022 and July 31, 2022 (inclusive).

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput. Should this URL change or move locations a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,500,000 for any day between July 8, 2022 and July 31, 2022 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until data for July 31, 2022 is available.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of July 31, 2022, or on any date before that if the target number is reached. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from July 8, 2022 to July 31, 2022, by August 7, 2022, the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates July 8, 2022 and onward prior to the release of data for July 31, 2022 will be considered.
Volume
$59,059
End Date
Jul 31, 2022
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This is a market on whether more than 2.5 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between July 8, 2022 and July 31, 2022 (inclusive). The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput. Should this URL change or move locations a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,500,000 for any day between July 8, 2022 and July 31, 2022 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until data for July 31, 2022 is available. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of July 31, 2022, or on any date before that if the target number is reached. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from July 8, 2022 to July 31, 2022, by August 7, 2022, the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates July 8, 2022 and onward prior to the release of data for July 31, 2022 will be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August?" has generated $59.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.