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Will more than 2.2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by February 6?

Market icon

Will more than 2.2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by February 6?

0% chance
Polymarket

$212 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$212 Vol.

This is a market on whether more than 2.2 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between January 30, 2023 and February 6, 2023 (inclusive).

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,200,000 for any day between January 30, 2023 and February 6, 2023 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until data for February 6, 2023 is available.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of February 6, 2023 or on any date before that if the target number is reached within the market timeframe. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from January 30, 2023 to February 6, 2023 by February 13, 2023 the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates January 30, 2023 and onward prior to the release of data for February 6, 2023 will be considered.
Volume
$212
End Date
Feb 7, 2023
This is a market on whether more than 2.2 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between January 30, 2023 and February 6, 2023 (inclusive). The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,200,000 for any day between January 30, 2023 and February 6, 2023 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until data for February 6, 2023 is available. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of February 6, 2023 or on any date before that if the target number is reached within the market timeframe. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from January 30, 2023 to February 6, 2023 by February 13, 2023 the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates January 30, 2023 and onward prior to the release of data for February 6, 2023 will be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a market on whether more than 2.2 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between January 30, 2023 and February 6, 2023 (inclusive).

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,200,000 for any day between January 30, 2023 and February 6, 2023 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until data for February 6, 2023 is available.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of February 6, 2023 or on any date before that if the target number is reached within the market timeframe. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from January 30, 2023 to February 6, 2023 by February 13, 2023 the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates January 30, 2023 and onward prior to the release of data for February 6, 2023 will be considered.
Volume
$212
End Date
Feb 7, 2023
This is a market on whether more than 2.2 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between January 30, 2023 and February 6, 2023 (inclusive). The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,200,000 for any day between January 30, 2023 and February 6, 2023 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until data for February 6, 2023 is available. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of February 6, 2023 or on any date before that if the target number is reached within the market timeframe. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from January 30, 2023 to February 6, 2023 by February 13, 2023 the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates January 30, 2023 and onward prior to the release of data for February 6, 2023 will be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will more than 2.2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by February 6?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will more than 2.2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by February 6?" is a newly created market on Polymarket. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will more than 2.2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by February 6?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will more than 2.2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by February 6?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will more than 2.2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by February 6?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.