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Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?

$20,174 Vol.

Rules

The first round of France's 2022 presidential election was held on April 10, 2022. As an absolute majority was not won by any candidate, a run-off will be held between the top two candidates: incumbent president Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen on April 24, 2022. 

If Emmanuel Macron wins round two of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of valid cast votes, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election is not held by January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The percentage of votes awarded to Macron will be decided by dividing the number of votes Macron receives by the sum of votes that Macron receives and votes that Le Pen receives, and multiplying by 100. I.e. Percentage = (#Macron / [#Macron + #Le Pen]) * 100.

The figures for the number of votes each candidate received will be derived from the table expressing data from the 2nd round election on the official election results page hosted by the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022/FE.html). Specifically, the number of votes each candidate receives will be derived from the number in the “Voix” column next to each respective candidate’s name.
Volume
$20,174
End Date
Apr 24, 2022
Created At
Apr 13, 2022, 12:00 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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$20,174 Vol.

Market icon

Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?

About

The first round of France's 2022 presidential election was held on April 10, 2022. As an absolute majority was not won by any candidate, a run-off will be held between the top two candidates: incumbent president Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen on April 24, 2022. 

If Emmanuel Macron wins round two of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of valid cast votes, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election is not held by January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The percentage of votes awarded to Macron will be decided by dividing the number of votes Macron receives by the sum of votes that Macron receives and votes that Le Pen receives, and multiplying by 100. I.e. Percentage = (#Macron / [#Macron + #Le Pen]) * 100.

The figures for the number of votes each candidate received will be derived from the table expressing data from the 2nd round election on the official election results page hosted by the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022/FE.html). Specifically, the number of votes each candidate receives will be derived from the number in the “Voix” column next to each respective candidate’s name.
Volume
$20,174
End Date
Apr 24, 2022
Created At
Apr 13, 2022, 12:00 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Related

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Beware of external links.