This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 42.5% for the day of October 13, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data for October 13 will be checked on October 14, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.

If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for October 13 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on October 14, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to October 13.

If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to October 13.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.